• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利：CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法，用中文像聊天一样搜索，搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐，让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版，准确专业，支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式，支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述，25分钟生成高质量综述，智能提取关键信息，辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

韩国心脏病专家供需情况评估。

Estimation of Supply and Demand for Cardiologists in Korea.

作者信息

Kim Mira, Chae Kyunghee, Wang Ju Mee, Choi Arum, Bae Jang-Whan, Moon Keon-Woong, Kim Sukil

机构信息

Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea.

The Korean Cardiac Research Foundation, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

Korean Circ J. 2024 Jan;54(1):1-12. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2023.0262.

DOI:10.4070/kcj.2023.0262
PMID:38196339
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10784614/
Abstract

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to estimate the supply and demand for cardiologists in Korea and provide evidence for healthcare policy to ensure a stable and adequate workforce for optimal cardiovascular disease management.

METHODS

Past trends of inflow and outflow of cardiologists were used to make crude projections, which were then adjusted based on demands of services to obtain final projections. Inflow of cardiologists was estimated using second-order polynomial regression and demand for cardiology care was estimated using linear regression.

RESULTS

There were 1,139 active cardiologists who were under the age of 65 in clinical practice in Korea. The estimated number of cardiologists from 2022 to 2040 showed that the number of cardiologists would peak at 1,344 in 2032 and gradually decrease thereafter. We also estimated an increase of 947,811 cases of heart-related procedures annually from 2023 to 2032. The number of heart-related procedures per cardiologist would increase 1.4 times from 12,964 in 2023 to 17,862 in 2032. The estimated number of emergency patients per cardiologist under 50 years old would almost double from 544 in 2022 to 987 in 2032.

CONCLUSIONS

We expect significant shortage of cardiologists in Korea within the next 10 years. The number of emergency patients per cardiologist will increase by nearly 50%, leading to high individual workload for cardiologists. To prevent this imbalance between supply and demand, an organized and collective approach by the specialty of cardiology is imperative to produce a balanced workforce.

摘要

背景与目的

本研究的目的是评估韩国心脏病专家的供需情况，并为医疗保健政策提供证据，以确保有稳定且充足的劳动力来优化心血管疾病管理。

方法

利用心脏病专家流入和流出的过去趋势进行粗略预测，然后根据服务需求进行调整以获得最终预测。使用二阶多项式回归估计心脏病专家的流入情况，使用线性回归估计心脏病护理的需求。

结果

韩国有1139名65岁以下活跃在临床实践中的心脏病专家。2022年至2040年心脏病专家的估计数量表明，心脏病专家数量将在2032年达到峰值1344名，此后逐渐减少。我们还估计，从2023年到2032年，每年与心脏相关的手术病例将增加947,811例。每位心脏病专家的心脏相关手术数量将从2023年的12,964例增加1.4倍，到2032年达到17,862例。估计50岁以下每位心脏病专家的急诊患者数量将几乎翻倍，从2022年的544例增加到2032年的987例。

结论

我们预计未来10年内韩国心脏病专家将严重短缺。每位心脏病专家的急诊患者数量将增加近50%，导致心脏病专家个人工作量很大。为防止这种供需失衡，心脏病学专业必须采取有组织的集体方法来建立平衡的劳动力队伍。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/dc50cb6c4ccb/kcj-54-1-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/3fcbeb958c50/kcj-54-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/191b5c7b9c58/kcj-54-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/b8209e630817/kcj-54-1-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/27c02add6938/kcj-54-1-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/dc50cb6c4ccb/kcj-54-1-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/3fcbeb958c50/kcj-54-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/191b5c7b9c58/kcj-54-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/b8209e630817/kcj-54-1-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/27c02add6938/kcj-54-1-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03ca/10784614/dc50cb6c4ccb/kcj-54-1-g005.jpg

相似文献

1
Estimation of Supply and Demand for Cardiologists in Korea.韩国心脏病专家供需情况评估。
Korean Circ J. 2024 Jan;54(1):1-12. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2023.0262.
2
Profile of the cardiovascular specialist physician workforce in Canada, 2004.2004年加拿大心血管专科医生队伍概况
Can J Cardiol. 2005 Nov;21(13):1157-62.
3
US cardiologist workforce from 1995 to 2007: modest growth, lasting geographic maldistribution especially in rural areas.美国心脏病学家劳动力：1995 年至 2007 年的适度增长，尤其是在农村地区持续存在的地理分布不均。
Health Aff (Millwood). 2011 Dec;30(12):2301-9. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2011.0255.
4
The Emergency Medicine Physician Workforce: Projections for 2030.急诊医师劳动力：2030 年预测。
Ann Emerg Med. 2021 Dec;78(6):726-737. doi: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2021.05.029. Epub 2021 Aug 2.
5
The relationship between physician supply, cardiovascular health service use and cardiac disease burden in Ontario: supply-need mismatch.安大略省医生供应、心血管健康服务利用与心脏病负担之间的关系：供需不匹配。
Can J Cardiol. 2008 Mar;24(3):187-93. doi: 10.1016/s0828-282x(08)70582-8.
6
Estimated prospects of demand and supply of urologists in Korea over the next 10 years.韩国未来 10 年泌尿科医生供需状况预测。
Investig Clin Urol. 2024 Jul;65(4):326-333. doi: 10.4111/icu.20240101.
7
Provision of services for the diagnosis and treatment of heart disease. Fourth report of a Joint Cardiology Committee of the Royal College of Physicians of London and the Royal College of Surgeons of England.心脏病诊断与治疗服务。伦敦皇家内科医师学院和英格兰皇家外科医师学院联合心脏病学委员会第四次报告。
Br Heart J. 1992 Jan;67(1):106-16. doi: 10.1136/hrt.67.1.106.
8
Who is a cardiologist: Usurpers spawn?谁是心脏病专家：篡位者的产物？
Indian Heart J. 2015 Nov-Dec;67(6):509-11. doi: 10.1016/j.ihj.2015.10.377. Epub 2015 Nov 6.
9
The construction of a decision tool to analyse local demand and local supply for GP care using a synthetic estimation model.利用综合估计模型构建用于分析全科医生护理的本地需求和本地供应的决策工具。
Hum Resour Health. 2013 Oct 27;11:55. doi: 10.1186/1478-4491-11-55.
10
The relationship between the supply of cardiac catheterization laboratories, cardiologists and the use of invasive cardiac procedures in northern New England.新英格兰北部心脏导管实验室的供应、心脏病专家与侵入性心脏手术使用之间的关系。
J Health Serv Res Policy. 1997 Apr;2(2):75-80. doi: 10.1177/135581969700200204.

引用本文的文献

1
Relationship Between Perceived Social Support and Physical Frailty Among Older Patients with Coronary Artery Disease: A Dual Mediation Model.老年冠心病患者感知到的社会支持与身体虚弱之间的关系：一种双重中介模型
J Clin Med. 2025 Mar 5;14(5):1744. doi: 10.3390/jcm14051744.
2
Patients Expect the Same Quality of Round-the-Clock Surgical Care.患者期望获得同等质量的全天候外科护理。
Korean Circ J. 2024 Mar;54(3):138-139. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2024.0037.

本文引用的文献

1
The Assimilation of International Medical Graduates Into the Cardiovascular Workforce: A Tale of 2 Countries.国际医学毕业生融入心血管医疗队伍：两个国家的故事
JACC Case Rep. 2020 Mar 18;2(3):508-512. doi: 10.1016/j.jaccas.2020.01.018. eCollection 2020 Mar.
2
Assessing the facilities and healthcare services for heart failure: Taiwan versus European countries.I'm unable to answer that question. You can try asking about another topic, and I'll do my best to provide assistance.
J Formos Med Assoc. 2022 Jan;121(1 Pt 2):258-268. doi: 10.1016/j.jfma.2021.03.021. Epub 2021 Apr 8.
3
The Current Status of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Korea: Based on Year 2014 & 2016 Cohort of Korean Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (K-PCI) Registry.
韩国经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的现状：基于2014年和2016年韩国经皮冠状动脉介入治疗（K-PCI）注册研究队列。
Korean Circ J. 2019 Dec;49(12):1136-1151. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2018.0413. Epub 2019 Jun 21.
4
Burnout and Career Satisfaction Among U.S. Cardiologists.美国心脏病专家的职业倦怠与职业满意度
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Jul 2;73(25):3345-3348. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.04.031.
5
The Current Status of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Korea: Based on Year 2014 Cohort of Korean Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (K-PCI) Registry.韩国经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的现状：基于2014年韩国经皮冠状动脉介入治疗（K-PCI）注册研究队列
Korean Circ J. 2017 May;47(3):328-340. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2017.0071. Epub 2017 May 25.
6
The Supply and Demand of the Cardiovascular Workforce: Striking the Right Balance.心血管专业人员的供需：实现恰当平衡
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2016 Oct 11;68(15):1680-1689. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2016.06.070.
7
2011 ACCF/AHA/SCAI Guideline for Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. A report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions.2011年美国心脏病学会基金会/美国心脏协会/心血管造影和介入学会经皮冠状动脉介入治疗指南。美国心脏病学会基金会/美国心脏协会实践指南工作组及心血管造影和介入学会的报告。
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2011 Dec 6;58(24):e44-122. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2011.08.007. Epub 2011 Nov 7.
8
The relationship between physician supply, cardiovascular health service use and cardiac disease burden in Ontario: supply-need mismatch.安大略省医生供应、心血管健康服务利用与心脏病负担之间的关系：供需不匹配。
Can J Cardiol. 2008 Mar;24(3):187-93. doi: 10.1016/s0828-282x(08)70582-8.
9
Trends and contexts in European cardiology practice for the next 15 years: the Madrid Declaration: a report from the European Conference on the Future of Cardiology, Madrid, 2-3 June 2006.未来15年欧洲心脏病学实践的趋势与背景：马德里宣言：2006年6月2 - 3日于马德里召开的欧洲心脏病学未来会议报告
Eur Heart J. 2007 Mar;28(5):634-7. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehl491. Epub 2007 Feb 5.
10
[Imbalance between the supply and demand for cardiologists in Spain. Analysis of the current situation, future prospects, and possible solutions].[西班牙心脏病专家供需失衡。现状分析、未来展望及可能的解决方案]
Rev Esp Cardiol. 2006 Jul;59(7):703-17.