Kelly E L, Conley J J
J Pers Soc Psychol. 1987 Jan;52(1):27-40. doi: 10.1037//0022-3514.52.1.27.
The antecedents of marital stability (divorce or remaining married) and marital satisfaction (within the group that remains married) were investigated with a panel of 300 couples who were followed from their engagements in the 1930s until 1980. Twenty-two of the couples broke their engagements; of the 278 couples who married, 50 got divorced at some time between 1935 and 1980. Personality characteristics (measured by acquaintance ratings made in the 1930s) were important predictors of both marital stability and marital satisfaction. The three aspects of personality most strongly related to marital outcome were the neuroticism of the husband, the neuroticism of the wife, and the impulse control of the husband. In combination, the 17 major antecedent variables were moderately predictive of a criterion variable composed of both marital stability and marital satisfaction (R = .49). The three major aspects of personality accounted for more than half of the predictable variance. The remaining variance was accounted for by attitudinal, social-environment, and sexual history variables.
对300对夫妇组成的样本进行了研究，调查婚姻稳定性（离婚或维持婚姻）和婚姻满意度（在维持婚姻的群体中）的影响因素。这些夫妇从20世纪30年代订婚开始，一直被跟踪到1980年。其中22对夫妇解除了婚约；在278对结婚的夫妇中，有50对在1935年至1980年期间的某个时候离婚。人格特征（通过20世纪30年代熟人的评价来衡量）是婚姻稳定性和婚姻满意度的重要预测因素。与婚姻结果最密切相关的人格三个方面是丈夫的神经质、妻子的神经质以及丈夫的冲动控制。综合起来，17个主要的先行变量对由婚姻稳定性和婚姻满意度组成的标准变量具有中等程度的预测性（R = 0.49）。人格的三个主要方面占可预测方差的一半以上。其余的方差由态度、社会环境和性史变量解释。
