Murdoch University, School of Veterinary and Life Sciences, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Private Researcher, Wellington, New Zealand.
J Fish Dis. 2024 May;47(5):e13920. doi: 10.1111/jfd.13920. Epub 2024 Jan 16.
Lobsters and crayfish in Australasia can develop a condition known as Tail Fan Necrosis (TFN syndrome). Many attempts have been made to find a primary pathogen or link the syndrome to commercial activities, but a solution remains elusive. TFN syndrome is a 'wicked problem', a problem difficult or impossible to solve because of incomplete and contradictory information forming a matrix of potential outcomes with no simple solution. Reviewing the literature shows TFN syndrome is sometimes reported to develop in association with sterile blisters on the telson and uropods which may rupture permitting invasion by environmental fungal and/or bacterial flora. Whether blisters form prior to, or because of, infection is unknown. TFN syndrome sometimes develops in captivity, sometimes requires a previous insult to the telson and uropods, and prevalence is patchy in the wild. The literature shows the cause of blisters associated with TFN syndrome remains an enigma, for which we suggest several possible initiating factors. We strongly urge that researchers not 'jump to conclusions' as to the aetiology of TFN syndrome. It cannot be explained without carefully exploring alternative aetiologies whilst being cognisant of the age-old lesson that 'correlation does not equal causation'.
澳大拉西亚的龙虾和淡水螯虾可能会出现一种称为尾扇坏死(TFN 综合征)的病症。许多人试图找到原发性病原体或将该综合征与商业活动联系起来,但仍未找到解决方案。TFN 综合征是一个“棘手的问题”,由于形成潜在结果矩阵的信息不完整且相互矛盾,因此难以或不可能解决,而没有简单的解决方案。回顾文献表明,TFN 综合征有时与尾扇和尾节上的无菌水疱有关,这些水疱可能破裂,使环境真菌和/或细菌菌群侵入。水疱是在感染之前还是因为感染而形成尚不清楚。TFN 综合征有时在圈养中发生,有时需要对尾扇和尾节造成先前的伤害,而且在野外的流行情况参差不齐。文献表明,与 TFN 综合征相关的水疱的病因仍然是个谜,为此我们提出了几个可能的起始因素。我们强烈敦促研究人员不要对 TFN 综合征的病因“妄下结论”。如果不仔细探讨替代病因,而不了解“相关性并不等于因果关系”这一古老的教训,就无法解释 TFN 综合征。