Institute for Health Policy, Colombo, Sri Lanka
Institute for Health Policy, Colombo, Sri Lanka.
BMJ Glob Health. 2024 Jan 18;8(Suppl 6):e013286. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-013286.
This study examines how Sri Lanka, a lower-middle income country, managed its COVID-19 response and maintained health services. It draws on an extensive document review, key informant interviews and a national survey of public experience and opinion to assess what Sri Lanka did, its effectiveness and why.Owing to a strong health system and luck, Sri Lanka stopped the first wave of COVID-19 infections, and it adopted a 'Zero-COVID' approach with the explicit goal of stopping outbreaks. This was initially effective. Outbreaks reduced healthcare use, but with minimal impact on health outcomes. But from end-2020, Sri Lanka switched its approach to tolerating transmission and mitigation. It took proactive actions to maintain healthcare access, and it pursued a COVID-19 vaccination effort that was successful in covering its adult population rapidly and with minimal disparities. Despite this, widespread transmission during 2021-2022 disrupted health services through the pressure on health facilities of patients with COVID-19 and infection of healthcare workers, and because COVID-19 anxiety discouraged patients from seeking healthcare. This led to substantial mortality and more than 30 000 excess deaths by 2022.We find that Sri Lanka abandoned its initially successful approach, because it failed to understand that its chosen strategy required symptomatic PCR testing in primary care. Failure to invest in testing was compounded by groupthink and a medical culture averse to testing.Sri Lanka's experience confirms that strong public health capacities, robust healthcare systems and intersectoral action are critical for pandemic response. It shows that civilian-military collaboration can be beneficial but contested, and that lack of fiscal space will undermine any response. It also demonstrates that pandemic preparedness cannot guarantee a successful pandemic response. Policy and research must pay more attention to improving decision-making processes when faced with pandemics involving novel pathogens, rapid spread, and substantial scientific uncertainty.
这项研究考察了斯里兰卡作为一个中低收入国家,如何应对 COVID-19 并维持卫生服务。它借鉴了广泛的文件审查、关键知情人访谈以及全国性的公众经验和意见调查,以评估斯里兰卡所做的工作、其效果以及原因。由于强大的卫生系统和运气,斯里兰卡阻止了 COVID-19 感染的第一波浪潮,并且采取了“零 COVID”方法,明确目标是阻止疫情爆发。这最初是有效的。疫情减少了医疗保健的使用,但对健康结果的影响最小。但从 2020 年底开始,斯里兰卡改变了容忍传播和缓解的方法。它采取了积极行动来维持医疗保健的可及性,并推行了一项 COVID-19 疫苗接种工作,迅速成功地覆盖了其成年人口,且差距极小。尽管如此,2021 年至 2022 年期间的广泛传播通过 COVID-19 患者对卫生设施的压力和医护人员感染,以及 COVID-19 焦虑使患者不愿寻求医疗保健,扰乱了卫生服务。这导致了大量死亡,并导致到 2022 年有超过 3 万人超额死亡。我们发现,斯里兰卡放弃了最初成功的方法,因为它没有理解其选择的策略需要在初级保健中进行有症状的 PCR 检测。未能投资检测,再加上群体思维和厌恶检测的医学文化,使情况更加恶化。斯里兰卡的经验证实,强大的公共卫生能力、健全的医疗保健系统和部门间行动对于大流行应对至关重要。它表明军民合作可以是有益的,但也可能存在争议,而且缺乏财政空间将破坏任何应对措施。它还表明,大流行防范不能保证成功应对大流行。政策和研究必须更加关注在面对涉及新型病原体、快速传播和大量科学不确定性的大流行时,改善决策过程。
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