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新冠疫情前后的中毒趋势。

The trend of poisonings before and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

机构信息

School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Legal Medicine Research Center, Legal Medicine Organization, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Jan 24;14(1):2098. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-52537-y.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has substantially affected people and healthcare systems. One of the main challenges was the reduction and change in the pattern of non-COVID-19 diseases and conditions. Moreover, due to the mental burden of the pandemic, the trend of poisonings and abuses changed. In this study, we aimed to assess the trends of poisonings from different agents before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using the interrupted time series method. This study was conducted at one of the main Tehran referral centers for poisoning, Baharloo Hospital. Pre-COVID-19 period was defined as April 2018 to January 2020 while the COVID-19 time was from February 2020 to March 2022. The total number of monthly poisoning cases in addition to eight categories of drugs/substances/agents were identified, including drugs (such as psychiatric drugs, cardiovascular drugs, and analgesics), opioids, stimulants, methanol, ethanol, cannabis, pesticides, and carbon monoxide. Interrupted time series analysis was performed to compare the pre-pandemic trend of total monthly cases from each category in addition to the proportion (%) of each one. In total, 13,020 cases were poisoned during the study period, among which 6088 belonged to the pre-pandemic period and 6932 were admitted during the COVID-19 era. There was no significant difference in terms of demographic characteristics of patients before and during the pandemic (p-value > 0.05). At the beginning of the pandemic, there was a sudden fall in the number of poisoning patients (- 77.2 cases/month, p-value = 0.003), however, there was a significant increasing trend during the COVID time (3.9 cases/month, p-value = 0.006). Most of the categories had a sharp decrease at the beginning of the pandemic except for methanol and ethanol which had increases, although not significant. Cannabis also had a significant change in slope (- 0.6 cases/month, p-value = 0.016), in addition to the sudden decrease at the beginning of the pandemic (- 10 cases/month, p-value = 0.007). Regarding the proportion of each category from total monthly poisoning cases, methanol, and ethanol had immediate rises of 4.2% per month and 10.1% per month, respectively (both significant). The pandemic had significant effects on the pattern of poisonings from different agents in Iran, the most important of which were alcohol (ethanol and methanol). These differences had policy implications that can be helpful for policymakers and healthcare systems in combating similar situations in the future.

摘要

新冠疫情对人们和医疗系统造成了重大影响。其中一个主要挑战是,非新冠疾病和病症的模式发生了减少和改变。此外,由于疫情带来的精神负担,中毒和滥用的趋势也发生了变化。在这项研究中,我们旨在使用中断时间序列方法评估新冠疫情前后不同毒物引起的中毒趋势。这项研究在德黑兰主要转诊中毒中心之一——巴哈罗医院进行。新冠疫情前时期定义为 2018 年 4 月至 2020 年 1 月,而新冠疫情时期为 2020 年 2 月至 2022 年 3 月。确定了每月中毒案例总数以及包括药物(如精神科药物、心血管药物和镇痛药)、阿片类药物、兴奋剂、甲醇、乙醇、大麻、杀虫剂和一氧化碳在内的 8 类药物/物质/毒物。进行了中断时间序列分析,以比较每个类别在疫情前的每月趋势,以及每个类别的比例(%)。在研究期间,共有 13020 人中毒,其中 6088 人属于疫情前时期,6932 人属于新冠疫情时期。在疫情前和疫情期间,患者的人口统计学特征没有显著差异(p 值>0.05)。在疫情开始时,中毒患者人数突然下降(每月减少 77.2 例,p 值=0.003),然而,在新冠疫情期间呈现出显著的上升趋势(每月增加 3.9 例,p 值=0.006)。大多数类别在疫情开始时都急剧下降,除了甲醇和乙醇有所增加,尽管不显著。大麻的斜率也发生了显著变化(每月减少 0.6 例,p 值=0.016),此外,在疫情开始时突然减少(每月减少 10 例,p 值=0.007)。关于每个类别在总每月中毒病例中的比例,甲醇和乙醇每月分别立即增加 4.2%和 10.1%(均显著)。疫情对伊朗不同毒物引起的中毒模式产生了重大影响,其中最重要的是酒精(乙醇和甲醇)。这些差异具有政策意义,可为决策者和医疗系统在未来应对类似情况提供帮助。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8578/10808127/fdc5945b3fc8/41598_2024_52537_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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