Suppr超能文献

为时间序列构建一个强大的混合组合检验

Bootstrapping a powerful mixed portmanteau test for time series.

作者信息

Mahdi Esam, Fisher Thomas J

机构信息

Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.

Department of Statistics, Miami University, Oxford, OH, USA.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2022 Sep 19;51(2):230-255. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2022.2121384. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

A new portmanteau test statistic is proposed for detecting nonlinearity in time series data. The new portmanteau statistic is calculated from the log of the determinant of a matrix comprised of the autocorrelations and cross-correlations of the residuals and squared residuals of a fitted time series. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed test statistic is derived as a linear combination of chi-square distributed random variables and can be approximated by a gamma distribution. A bootstrapping approach is shown to be robust when distributional assumptions are relaxed. The efficacy of the statistic is studied against linear and nonlinear dependency structures of some stationary time series models. It is shown that the new test can provide higher power than other tests in many situations. We demonstrate the advantages of the proposed test by investigating linear and nonlinear effects in an economic series and two environmental time series.

摘要

提出了一种新的混合检验统计量,用于检测时间序列数据中的非线性。新的混合统计量是根据一个矩阵的行列式的对数计算得出的,该矩阵由拟合时间序列的残差和平方残差的自相关和互相关组成。所提出的检验统计量的渐近分布被推导为卡方分布随机变量的线性组合,并且可以用伽马分布近似。当分布假设放宽时,一种自助法被证明是稳健的。针对一些平稳时间序列模型的线性和非线性依赖结构研究了该统计量的功效。结果表明,在许多情况下,新检验比其他检验具有更高的功效。我们通过研究一个经济序列和两个环境时间序列中的线性和非线性效应,证明了所提出检验的优势。

相似文献

1
Bootstrapping a powerful mixed portmanteau test for time series.为时间序列构建一个强大的混合组合检验
J Appl Stat. 2022 Sep 19;51(2):230-255. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2022.2121384. eCollection 2024.
3
Testing network autocorrelation without replicates.测试无重复的网络自相关性。
PLoS One. 2022 Nov 3;17(11):e0275532. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0275532. eCollection 2022.
4
Testing nonlinearity of heavy-tailed time series.检验重尾时间序列的非线性。
J Appl Stat. 2024 Feb 11;51(13):2672-2689. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2024.2315450. eCollection 2024.
8
Generalized R-squared for detecting dependence.用于检测依赖性的广义决定系数。
Biometrika. 2017 Mar;104(1):129-139. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asw071. Epub 2017 Feb 22.

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验