Ayala Andrés, Dintrans Pablo Villalobos, Elorrieta Felipe, Maddaleno Matilde, Vargas Claudio, Iturriaga Andrés
Departamento de Matemáticas y Ciencia de la Computación, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Rev Med Chil. 2023 Mar;151(3):269-279. doi: 10.4067/s0034-98872023000300269.
The effects of COVID-19 in Chile changed over time and among regions.
To identify patterns in the impact and evolution of COVID-19 for each wave generated between 2020 and 2022 at the 16 regions of the country.
Several indicators related to the pandemic, their evolution and their consequences for the health system and the health of the population were calculated.
There are differences in the evolution of the infection across the regions of the country, as well as heterogeneity between waves. Specifically, the second wave in Chile was identified as the one with the greatest impact, with a national death rate of 123.5 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants and 66.4% intensive care unit occupancy rate due to COVID-19. Performing a geographic analysis, it was possible to find systematic patterns, for example, between regions with higher immunization rates and lower rates of lethality, such as the cases of Ñuble and Atacama regions.
These results emphasize the need to consider regional differences and the temporal context for the elaboration of strategies to the efficient management of a pandemic.
新冠疫情在智利的影响随时间和地区而变化。
确定2020年至2022年该国16个地区每一波新冠疫情的影响模式及其演变情况。
计算了与疫情相关的若干指标、其演变情况以及对卫生系统和民众健康的影响。
该国各地区的感染演变情况存在差异,各波疫情之间也存在异质性。具体而言,智利的第二波疫情被确定为影响最大的一波,全国死亡率为每10万居民中有123.5人死亡,因新冠疫情导致的重症监护病房占用率为66.4%。通过进行地理分析,可以发现一些系统性模式,例如,在免疫率较高和致死率较低的地区之间,如纽布莱大区和阿塔卡马大区的情况。
这些结果强调,在制定大流行有效管理策略时,需要考虑地区差异和时间背景。