Ultrasound Examination center, Tokushima University Hospital, Tokushima, Japan.
Department of Radiological Technology, Teikyo University, Itabashi-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Heart. 2024 Mar 22;110(8):586-593. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2023-323320.
The classification of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is crucial for determining the appropriate therapeutic strategy. We investigated whether machine learning (ML) algorithms may assist in echocardiographic PH prediction, where current guidelines recommend integrating several different parameters.
We obtained physical and echocardiographic data from 885 patients who underwent right heart catheterisation (RHC). Patients were classified into three groups: non-PH, precapillary PH and postcapillary PH, based on values obtained from RHC. Using 24 parameters, we created predictive models employing four different classifiers and selected the one with the highest area under the curve. We then calculated the macro-average classification accuracy for PH on the derivation cohort (n=720) and prospective validation data set (n=165), comparing the results with guideline-based echocardiographic assessment obtained from each cohort.
Logistic regression with elastic net regularisation had the highest classification accuracy, with areas under the curves of 0.789, 0.766 and 0.742 for normal, precapillary PH and postcapillary PH, respectively. The ML model demonstrated significantly better predictive accuracy than the guideline-based echocardiographic assessment in the derivation cohort (59.4% vs 51.6%, p<0.01). In the independent validation data set, the ML model's accuracy was comparable to the guideline-based PH classification (59.4% vs 57.8%, p=0.638).
This preliminary study suggests promising potential for our ML model in predicting echocardiographic PH. Further research and validation are needed to fully assess its clinical utility in PH diagnosis and treatment decision-making.
肺动脉高压(PH)的分类对于确定合适的治疗策略至关重要。我们研究了机器学习(ML)算法是否可以辅助超声心动图 PH 预测,目前的指南建议整合多个不同的参数。
我们从 885 例行右心导管检查(RHC)的患者中获取了体格检查和超声心动图数据。根据 RHC 获得的值,患者被分为三组:非 PH、毛细血管前 PH 和毛细血管后 PH。我们使用 24 个参数,创建了四个不同分类器的预测模型,并选择了曲线下面积最高的模型。然后,我们在推导队列(n=720)和前瞻性验证数据集(n=165)上计算 PH 的宏平均分类准确率,将结果与从每个队列获得的基于指南的超声心动图评估进行比较。
带弹性网正则化的逻辑回归具有最高的分类准确率,正常、毛细血管前 PH 和毛细血管后 PH 的曲线下面积分别为 0.789、0.766 和 0.742。ML 模型在推导队列中的预测准确性明显优于基于指南的超声心动图评估(59.4%比 51.6%,p<0.01)。在独立验证数据集中,ML 模型的准确率与基于指南的 PH 分类相当(59.4%比 57.8%,p=0.638)。
这项初步研究表明,我们的 ML 模型在预测超声心动图 PH 方面具有很大的潜力。需要进一步的研究和验证来全面评估其在 PH 诊断和治疗决策中的临床应用价值。