Department of Psychiatry, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Early Interv Psychiatry. 2024 Sep;18(9):710-719. doi: 10.1111/eip.13510. Epub 2024 Feb 6.
Relapse rates are very high in schizophrenia. However, little is known about the predictors of the time to relapse other than treatment non-adherence. We investigated possible risk factors for the time to relapse in patients with first-episode schizophrenia (n = 107) who received assured treatment by way of long-acting injectable antipsychotic over 24 months and who underwent regular clinical, cognitive, and metabolic assessments.
Using Cox regression analyses we assessed selected premorbid and baseline potential predictors of time to relapse. Relapse was defined using operationally defined relapse criteria.
In the primary analysis only neurological soft signs total score retained significance, with higher scores predicting shorter time to relapse (HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.01-1.10, p = .029). In a more detailed secondary analysis poorer social relationships predicted shorter time to relapse (HR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.76-0.95, p = .003).
Our predominantly negative findings suggest that many of the previously implicated risk factors for the time to relapse are mediated by non-adherence rather than having a direct effect on relapse-proneness. Neurological soft signs, and perhaps quality of life in social relationships appear to play a role and merit further investigation.
精神分裂症的复发率非常高。然而,除了治疗不依从之外,对于复发时间的其他预测因素知之甚少。我们研究了首发精神分裂症患者(n=107)在接受长效注射抗精神病药物治疗 24 个月期间,可能与复发时间相关的风险因素,这些患者得到了保证治疗,并且定期进行临床、认知和代谢评估。
我们使用 Cox 回归分析评估了选定的发病前和基线潜在预测因素与复发时间的关系。使用操作性定义的复发标准定义复发。
在主要分析中,只有神经软体征总分具有统计学意义,得分越高,复发时间越短(HR=1.05,95%CI=1.01-1.10,p=0.029)。在更详细的二次分析中,较差的社会关系预测复发时间较短(HR=0.85,95%CI=0.76-0.95,p=0.003)。
我们的主要阴性发现表明,许多先前涉及的复发时间的风险因素是由不依从介导的,而不是对易复发有直接影响。神经软体征,以及社会关系中的生活质量,似乎发挥了作用,值得进一步研究。