Bundy D A, Thompson D E, Cooper E S, Golden M H, Anderson R M
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 1985;79(6):759-64. doi: 10.1016/0035-9203(85)90110-5.
Population dynamical parameters of Trichuris trichiura infections in children were estimated from longitudinal intensity and prevalence data from a population (n = 23) in a children's home in Jamaica. The theoretical predictions of a deterministic model incorporating these parameters were approximated to observed horizontal-age prevalence data from a naturally infected population (n = 203) of children in a St. Lucian village, and a rough estimate of the basic reproductive rate (Ro = 8-10) of T. trichiura obtained. The findings suggest that T. trichiura populations are intrinsically more difficult to control by traditional mass-treatment chemotherapy (eradication requires greater than 91% of the population to be treated every 6 months for greater than 5 years) than are populations of Ascaris, but may be more susceptible to selective chemotherapy programmes which aim to treat only the most heavily infected individuals.
根据牙买加一家儿童福利院中23名儿童的纵向感染强度和流行率数据,估算了儿童鞭虫感染的种群动态参数。将纳入这些参数的确定性模型的理论预测与圣卢西亚一个村庄中203名自然感染儿童的观察到的横向年龄流行率数据进行了近似,并获得了鞭虫基本繁殖率(Ro = 8 - 10)的粗略估计。研究结果表明,与蛔虫种群相比,鞭虫种群通过传统的大规模治疗化疗在本质上更难控制(根除需要每6个月对超过91%的人群进行治疗,持续超过5年),但可能对旨在仅治疗感染最严重个体的选择性化疗方案更敏感。