Velay-Vitow Jesse, Chandan Deepak, Peltier W Richard
Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Sci Rep. 2024 Feb 7;14(1):3134. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-53591-2.
During the most recent deglaciation, the upwards trend of warmer Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperatures was punctuated by a rapid and intense return to glacial conditions: the Younger Dryas (YD). The end of this event marks the beginning of the Holocene. Using the University of Toronto version of CCSM4, a model of the climate prior to the YD was created with correct boundary conditions. Various amounts of freshwater forcing were then applied to the Beaufort Gyre for forcing intervals ranging from 1 to 125 years. In several cases, this was sufficient to collapse the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and cause significant cooling over the NH. Crucially, after the forcing was ceased, the AMOC stayed in an off state for approximately a millennium before mounting a rapid recover to pre-YD levels. This recovery, which permanently reduced the extent of NH sea ice, occurred through the mechanism of a Polynya opening in the Irminger Sea during winter and led to a pronounced "overshoot" of the AMOC, during which NH temperatures were higher than before the YD.
在最近一次冰消期,北半球(NH)气温上升趋势被一次迅速而强烈的冰川条件回归所打断:新仙女木事件(YD)。这一事件的结束标志着全新世的开始。利用多伦多大学版本的CCSM4,在正确的边界条件下创建了一个YD之前的气候模型。然后,在1至125年的强迫间隔内,向波弗特海环流施加了不同数量的淡水强迫。在几种情况下,这足以使大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)崩溃,并导致NH显著降温。至关重要的是,在强迫停止后,AMOC在大约一千年的时间里一直处于关闭状态,然后才迅速恢复到YD之前的水平。这种恢复通过冬季伊尔明厄海一个无冰区开放的机制永久减少了NH海冰范围,并导致AMOC出现明显的“超调”,在此期间NH气温高于YD之前。