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利用社会经济和人口因素以及实时城市固体废弃物收集数据的固体废物产生预测模型框架。

Solid waste generation prediction model framework using socioeconomic and demographic factors with real-time MSW collection data.

作者信息

Fontaine Laurie, Legros Robert, Frayret Jean-Marc

机构信息

Department of Chemical Engineering, Polytechnique Montreal, Montreal, Canada.

Department of Mathematics and Industrial Engineering, Polytechnique Montreal, Montreal, Canada.

出版信息

Waste Manag Res. 2025 Feb;43(2):267-281. doi: 10.1177/0734242X241231414. Epub 2024 Feb 26.

DOI:10.1177/0734242X241231414
PMID:38407103
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11786527/
Abstract

This article proposes a framework for developing predictive models of end-of-life product flows, highlighting the importance of conducting thorough analyses before developing waste management and end-of-life product flow strategies. The framework emphasizes the importance of recognizing the nature and quality of the available data and finding a balance between model development time and detail requirements. It is designed to adapt to source material heterogeneity and address varying data availability scenarios, such as the presence or absence of radio frequency identification chips. A case study for the city of Gatineau is presented, showcasing the framework's application through agent-based simulation models in a geographic information systems environment. The study focuses on creating models of municipal solid waste generation based on socioeconomic and demographic factors and collection data to accurately predict the quantity and quality of waste streams, enabling municipalities to assess the environmental impact of their waste management strategies.

摘要

本文提出了一个用于开发报废产品流预测模型的框架,强调了在制定废物管理和报废产品流策略之前进行全面分析的重要性。该框架强调了认识可用数据的性质和质量以及在模型开发时间和详细要求之间找到平衡的重要性。它旨在适应源材料的异质性,并应对不同的数据可用性情况,例如是否存在射频识别芯片。文中给出了加蒂诺市的一个案例研究,展示了该框架在地理信息系统环境中通过基于智能体的仿真模型的应用。该研究专注于基于社会经济和人口因素以及收集数据创建城市固体废物产生模型,以准确预测废物流的数量和质量,使市政当局能够评估其废物管理策略的环境影响。

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