From the Department of Neurology (C.M.C.L.), Haaglanden Medical Center, The Hague; and Department of Neurology (S.A., E.M.S., J.K.), Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Neurology. 2024 Mar 26;102(6):e208032. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000208032. Epub 2024 Feb 26.
Outcome reporting bias occurs when publication of trial results is dependent on clinical significance, thereby threatening the validity of trial results. Research on immunomodulatory drugs in multiple sclerosis has thrived in recent years. We aim to comprehensively examine to what extent outcome reporting bias is present in these trials and the possible underlying factors.
We identified clinical trials evaluating the efficacy and safety of immunomodulatory drugs in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) registered in ClinicalTrials.gov after September 2007 and completed before the end of 2018. Information about study design, type of funding, and primary and secondary outcome measures was extracted from the registry. Timing of registration in relation to study initiation and subsequent amendments to the planned outcomes were reviewed. Publications related to these trials were identified in several bibliographic databases using the trial registration number. Registered primary and secondary outcomes were recorded for each trial and compared with outcomes in the publication describing the main outcomes of the trial.
A search of ClinicalTrials.gov identified 535 eligible registered clinical trials; of these, 101 had a matching publication. Discrepancies between registered and published primary and secondary outcomes were found in 95% of the trials, including discrepancies between the registered and published primary outcomes in 26 publications. Forty-four percent of the published secondary outcomes were not included in the registry. A similar proportion of registered and nonregistered reported primary efficacy outcomes were positive (favoring the intervention). Nonindustry-funded and open-label trials in MS were more prone to selective primary outcome reporting, although these findings did not reach statistical significance. Only two-thirds of the trials were registered in ClinicalTrials.gov before the trial start date, and 62% of trials made amendments in registered outcomes during or after the trial period.
Selective outcome reporting is prevalent in trials of disease-modifying drugs in people with MS. We propose methods to diminish the occurrence of this bias in future research.
当试验结果的发表取决于临床意义时,就会出现结果报告偏倚,从而威胁到试验结果的有效性。近年来,多发性硬化症的免疫调节药物研究蓬勃发展。我们旨在全面检查这些试验中存在的结果报告偏倚的程度以及可能的潜在因素。
我们在 ClinicalTrials.gov 中确定了 2007 年 9 月后注册并在 2018 年底前完成的评估免疫调节药物治疗多发性硬化症患者疗效和安全性的临床试验。从注册处提取研究设计、资金类型以及主要和次要结局指标的信息。审查了注册时间与研究启动的关系以及对计划结局的后续修订。使用试验注册号码在多个文献数据库中确定与这些试验相关的出版物。记录了每个试验的注册主要和次要结局,并将其与描述试验主要结局的出版物中的结局进行比较。
在 ClinicalTrials.gov 中进行搜索,确定了 535 项符合条件的已注册临床试验;其中,有 101 项有匹配的出版物。在 95%的试验中,发现注册和已发表的主要和次要结局之间存在差异,在 26 篇出版物中发现了注册和已发表的主要结局之间的差异。44%的已发表次要结局未包含在注册中。已注册和未注册的报告主要疗效结局阳性(有利于干预)的比例相似。多发性硬化症中的非行业资助和开放性试验更容易出现选择性主要结局报告,尽管这些发现没有达到统计学意义。只有三分之二的试验在试验开始日期前在 ClinicalTrials.gov 中注册,并且 62%的试验在试验期间或之后对注册结局进行了修订。
在多发性硬化症患者的疾病修饰药物试验中,选择性结局报告很常见。我们提出了在未来研究中减少这种偏倚发生的方法。