Biomarker-assessed total energy intake and its cohort study association with all-cause mortality in postmenopausal females.

BACKGROUND

The association of total energy intake (EI) with all-cause mortality is uncertain as are the dependencies of this association on age and weight change history.

OBJECTIVES

To identify an EI biomarker suitable for use in epidemiologic association studies and to study EI associations with total mortality in a Women's Health Initiative (WHI) cohort of postmenopausal United States females (1993-present).

METHODS

EI biomarkers were developed based on doubly labeled water (DLW) total energy expenditure (TEE) and weight variation during the 2-wk DLW protocol period using the energy balance method in an embedded feeding study (n = 153). This along with 2 earlier WHI nutrition biomarker studies having TEE assessments (n = 1131 total), with 14.6 y (median) follow-up, constituted a prospective cohort for the study of EI and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

An empirical biomarker for log(EI) was developed that had a correlation of 0.73 with log(feeding study-consumed EI). The overall association between EI and mortality was nonsignificant. The association, however, depended on age (P = 0.009), with lower EI associated with lower mortality at younger ages, and also on preceding weight change history (P = 0.03). Among participants with stable or increasing weight, mortality hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for a 12% lower EI were 0.66 (95% CI: 0.51, 0.87) at age 60, 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.98) at age 70, and 1.06 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.29) at age 80. Corresponding values for participants having preceding weight loss were 0.83 (95% CI: 0.61, 1.12) at age 60, 1.05 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.26) at age 70, and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.63) at age 80. A previously considered EI biomarker, using a theoretical model for variation in body fat and fat-free mass components over time, gave similar results following rescaling.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower EI is associated with lower all-cause mortality among younger postmenopausal females with stable or increasing weight and with higher mortality among older females with weight loss. This study was registered with clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00000611.