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体育赛事与9个月后的出生率变化:一项系统综述。

Sporting tournaments and changed birth rates 9 months later: a systematic review.

作者信息

Masukume Gwinyai, Grech Victor, Ryan Margaret

机构信息

School of Public Health, Physiotherapy and Sports Science, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.

Academic Department of Paediatrics, Medical School, Mater Dei Hospital, Msida, Malta.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2024 Feb 27;12:e16993. doi: 10.7717/peerj.16993. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Major sporting tournaments may be associated with increased birth rates 9 months afterwards, possibly due to celebratory sex. The influence of major sporting tournaments on birth patterns remains to be fully explored.

METHODS

Studies that examined the relationship between such events and altered birth metrics (number of births and/or birth sex ratio (male/total live births)) 9(±1) months later were sought in PubMed and Scopus and reported standard guidelines. Database searches were conducted up to 7 November 2022.

RESULTS

Five events led to increased birth metrics 9(±1) months later and these included the Super Bowl, the 2009 UEFA Champions League, the 2010 FIFA World Cup, the 2016 UEFA Euros and the 2019 Rugby World Cup. Several soccer matches also had effects. With a few exceptions, major American football, Association football (soccer) and Rugby apex tournaments in Africa, North America, Asia and Europe were associated with increases in the number of babies born and/or in the birth sex ratio 9(±1) months following notable team wins and/or hosting the tournament. Furthermore, unexpected losses by teams from a premier soccer league were associated with a decline in births 9 months on.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review establishes that major sporting tournaments have a notable impact on birth patterns, influencing both birth rates and sex ratios. Emotional intensification during these events likely triggers hormonal shifts, driving changes in sexual activity and subsequently shaping birth rates, often positively, about 9 months later. The context is crucial, especially when a region/country hosts a major single-sport tournament or participates for the first time, as population excitement is likely to be at its peak. These findings hold significance for healthcare planning and highlight the role of societal events in shaping demographic trends.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION

CRD42022382971.

摘要

引言

大型体育赛事可能与赛后9个月出生率上升有关,这可能是由于庆祝性行为所致。大型体育赛事对出生模式的影响仍有待充分探索。

方法

在PubMed和Scopus数据库中检索研究此类赛事与9(±1)个月后出生指标(出生数量和/或出生性别比(男/总活产数))变化之间关系的研究,并按照标准指南进行报告。检索截至2022年11月7日。

结果

五项赛事导致9(±1)个月后出生指标上升,其中包括超级碗、2009年欧洲足球冠军联赛、2010年国际足联世界杯、2016年欧洲足球锦标赛和2019年橄榄球世界杯。几场足球比赛也有影响。除少数例外,非洲、北美、亚洲和欧洲的主要美式橄榄球、足球和橄榄球顶级赛事,在球队取得显著胜利和/或举办赛事后9(±1)个月,与出生婴儿数量增加和/或出生性别比上升有关。此外,顶级足球联赛球队意外失利与9个月后的出生人数下降有关。

结论

本系统评价证实,大型体育赛事对出生模式有显著影响,影响出生率和性别比。这些赛事期间的情绪强化可能引发激素变化,导致性行为改变,进而通常在约9个月后对出生率产生积极影响。背景很关键,尤其是当一个地区/国家举办重大单项体育赛事或首次参赛时,因为民众的兴奋度可能处于顶峰。这些发现对医疗保健规划具有重要意义,并凸显了社会事件在塑造人口趋势中的作用。

PROSPERO注册号:CRD42022382971。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/538a/10906258/e32ec194f69a/peerj-12-16993-g001.jpg

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