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未经治疗的转移性乳腺癌患者的生存:“如果我什么都不做会怎样?”

Survival among patients with untreated metastatic breast cancer: "What if I do nothing?".

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, DUMC 3513, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.

Department of Population Health Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.

出版信息

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2024 Jun;205(2):333-347. doi: 10.1007/s10549-024-07265-2. Epub 2024 Mar 5.


DOI:10.1007/s10549-024-07265-2
PMID:38438700
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11102301/
Abstract

PURPOSE: We sought to assess survival outcomes of patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer (dnMBC) who did not receive treatment irrespective of the reason. METHODS: Adults with dnMBC were selected from the NCDB (2010-2016) and stratified based on receipt of treatment (treated = received at least one treatment and untreated = received no treatments). Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and groups were compared. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify factors associated with OS. RESULTS: Of the 53,240 patients with dnMBC, 92.1% received at least one treatment (treated), and 7.9% had no documented treatments, irrespective of the reason (untreated). Untreated patients were more likely to be older (median 68 y vs 61 y, p < 0.001), have higher comorbidity scores (p < 0.001), have triple-negative disease (17.8% vs 12.6%), and a higher disease burden (≥ 2 metastatic sites: 38.2% untreated vs 29.2% treated, p < 0.001). The median unadjusted OS in the untreated subgroup was 2.5 mo versus 36.4 mo in the treated subgroup (p < 0.001). After adjustment, variables associated with a worse OS in the untreated cohort included older age, higher comorbidity scores, higher tumor grade, and triple-negative (vs HR + /HER2-) subtype (all p < 0.05), while the number of metastatic sites was not associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with dnMBC who do not receive treatment are more likely to be older, present with comorbid conditions, and have clinically aggressive disease. Similar to those who do receive treatment, survival in an untreated population is associated with select patient and disease characteristics. However, the prognosis for untreated dnMBC is dismal.

摘要

目的:我们旨在评估未接受治疗的初诊转移性乳腺癌(dnMBC)患者的生存结局,无论其不接受治疗的原因是什么。

方法:从 NCDB(2010-2016 年)中选择患有 dnMBC 的成年人,并根据接受治疗的情况进行分层(治疗组=至少接受一种治疗,未治疗组=未接受任何治疗)。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法估计总生存(OS),并比较各组。使用 Cox 比例风险模型确定与 OS 相关的因素。

结果:在 53240 例患有 dnMBC 的患者中,92.1%的患者至少接受了一种治疗(治疗组),7.9%的患者未接受任何治疗(未治疗组),无论其不接受治疗的原因是什么。未治疗的患者更有可能年龄较大(中位数 68 岁比 61 岁,p<0.001),合并症评分更高(p<0.001),患有三阴性疾病(17.8%比 12.6%,p<0.001),疾病负担更高(≥2 个转移部位:38.2%未治疗组比 29.2%治疗组,p<0.001)。未治疗亚组的中位未调整 OS 为 2.5 个月,而治疗亚组为 36.4 个月(p<0.001)。调整后,与未治疗队列 OS 更差相关的变量包括年龄较大、合并症评分较高、肿瘤分级较高以及三阴性(与 HR+/HER2-型)亚型(均 p<0.05),而转移部位的数量与生存无关。

结论:未接受治疗的 dnMBC 患者更有可能年龄较大,合并症较多,且患有侵袭性更强的疾病。与接受治疗的患者类似,未治疗人群的生存与患者和疾病的某些特征有关。然而,未治疗的 dnMBC 预后较差。

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Survival among patients with untreated metastatic breast cancer: "What if I do nothing?".

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Fragmentation of Care and Its Association With Survival and Costs for Patients With Breast Cancer in Colombia.

JCO Glob Oncol. 2023-5

[2]
Novel Prognostic Staging System for Patients With De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer.

J Clin Oncol. 2023-5-10

[3]
Implications of missing data on reported breast cancer mortality.

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2023-1

[4]
Breast Cancer Statistics, 2022.

CA Cancer J Clin. 2022-11

[5]
Developments in the Management of Metastatic HER2-Positive Breast Cancer: A Review.

Curr Oncol. 2022-4-8

[6]
Primary Surgery with Systemic Therapy in Patients with de Novo Stage IV Breast Cancer: 10-year Follow-up; Protocol MF07-01 Randomized Clinical Trial.

J Am Coll Surg. 2021-12

[7]
Metastatic breast cancer: Who benefits from surgery?

Am J Surg. 2022-1

[8]
Contralateral Axillary Nodal Metastases: Stage IV Disease or a Manifestation of Progressive Locally Advanced Breast Cancer?

Ann Surg Oncol. 2021-10

[9]
Current and Future Management of HER2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer.

JCO Oncol Pract. 2021-10

[10]
Survival Outcomes Among Patients with Metastatic Breast Cancer: Review of 47,000 Patients.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2021-11

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