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中国深圳老年冠心病患者的多重疾病与死亡率

Multimorbidity and mortality among older patients with coronary heart disease in Shenzhen, China.

作者信息

Li Fu-Rong, Wang Shuang, Li Xia, Cheng Zhi-Yuan, Jin Cheng, Mo Chun-Bao, Zheng Jing, Liang Feng-Chao, Gu Dong-Feng

机构信息

Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Health and Precision Medicine, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

School of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

出版信息

J Geriatr Cardiol. 2024 Jan 28;21(1):81-89. doi: 10.26599/1671-5411.2024.01.005.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The current understanding of the magnitude and consequences of multimorbidity in Chinese older adults with coronary heart disease (CHD) is insufficient. We aimed to assess the association and population-attributable fractions (PAFs) between multimorbidity and mortality among hospitalized older patients who were diagnosed with CHD in Shenzhen, China.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older Chinese patients (aged ≥ 65 years) who were diagnosed with CHD. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations between multimorbidity and all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. We also calculated the PAFs.

RESULTS

The study comprised 76,455 older hospitalized patients who were diagnosed with CHD between January 1, 2016, and August 31, 2022. Among them, 70,217 (91.9%) had multimorbidity, defined as the presence of at least one of the predefined 14 chronic conditions. Those with cancer, hemorrhagic stroke and chronic liver disease had the worst overall death risk, with adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of 4.05 (3.77, 4.38), 2.22 (1.94, 2.53), and 1.85 (1.63, 2.11), respectively. For CVD mortality, the highest risk was observed for hemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke, and chronic kidney disease; the corresponding adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 3.24 (2.77, 3.79), 1.91 (1.79, 2.04), and 1.81 (1.64, 1.99), respectively. All-cause mortality was mostly attributable to cancer, heart failure and ischemic stroke, with PAFs of 11.8, 10.2, and 9.1, respectively. As for CVD mortality, the leading PAFs were heart failure, ischemic stroke and diabetes; the corresponding PAFs were 18.0, 15.7, and 6.1, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Multimorbidity was common and had a significant impact on mortality among older patients with CHD in Shenzhen, China. Cancer, heart failure, ischemic stroke and diabetes are the primary contributors to PAFs. Therefore, prioritizing improved treatment and management of these comorbidities is essential for the survival prognosis of CHD patients from a holistic public health perspective.

摘要

背景

目前对中国老年冠心病(CHD)患者中多病共存的程度及后果的了解尚不充分。我们旨在评估中国深圳确诊为CHD的住院老年患者中多病共存与死亡率之间的关联及人群归因分数(PAFs)。

方法

我们对确诊为CHD的中国老年患者(年龄≥65岁)进行了一项回顾性队列研究。采用Cox比例风险模型来估计多病共存与全因死亡率和心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率之间的关联。我们还计算了PAFs。

结果

该研究纳入了2016年1月1日至2022年8月31日期间确诊为CHD的76455名住院老年患者。其中,70217名(91.9%)患有多病共存,定义为存在预先定义的14种慢性病中的至少一种。患有癌症、出血性中风和慢性肝病的患者总体死亡风险最高,调整后的风险比(HRs)(95%置信区间)分别为4.05(3.77,4.38)、2.22(1.94,2.53)和1.85(1.63,2.11)。对于CVD死亡率,出血性中风、缺血性中风和慢性肾病的风险最高;相应的调整后HRs(95%置信区间)分别为3.24(2.77,3.79)、1.91(1.79,2.04)和1.81(1.64,1.99)。全因死亡率主要归因于癌症、心力衰竭和缺血性中风,PAFs分别为11.8、10.2和9.1。至于CVD死亡率,主要的PAFs是心力衰竭、缺血性中风和糖尿病;相应的PAFs分别为18.0、15.7和6.1。

结论

在中国深圳,多病共存情况常见,且对老年CHD患者的死亡率有显著影响。癌症、心力衰竭、缺血性中风和糖尿病是PAFs的主要贡献因素。因此,从整体公共卫生角度来看,优先改善这些合并症的治疗和管理对于CHD患者的生存预后至关重要。

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