Tikmani Shiyam Sunder, Saleem Sarah, Sadia Afreen, M Bann Carla, Bozdar Muhammad Hayat, Raza Jamal, Dhaded Sangappa M, Goudar Shivaprasad S, Gowdar Guruparasad, Yasmin Haleema, McClure Elizabeth M, Goldenberg Robert L
The Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Research Triangle Institute (RTI) International, Durham, NC, USA.
Glob Pediatr Health. 2024 Mar 13;11:2333794X241236617. doi: 10.1177/2333794X241236617. eCollection 2024.
To create a prediction model for preterm neonatal mortality. A secondary analysis was conducted using data from a prospective cohort study, the Project to Understand and Research Preterm Pregnancy Outcome South Asia. The Cox proportional hazard model was used and adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were reported. Overall, 3446 preterm neonates were included. The mean age of preterm neonates was 0.65 (1.25) hours and 52% were female. The preterm neonatal mortality rate was 23.3%. The maternal factors predicting preterm neonatal death was any antepartum hemorrhage, AHR 1.99 (1.60-2.47), while neonatal predictors were preterm who received positive pressure ventilation AHR 1.30 (1.08-1.57), temperature <35.5°C AHR 1.18 (1.00-1.39), and congenital malformations AHR 3.31 (2.64-4.16). This study identified key maternal and neonatal predictors of preterm neonatal mortality, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions and collaborative public health efforts to address disparities and regional variations.
为建立早产新生儿死亡率预测模型,我们利用一项前瞻性队列研究——南亚早产妊娠结局理解与研究项目的数据进行了二次分析。使用Cox比例风险模型,并报告了调整后的风险比(AHR)及95%置信区间(95%CI)。总体而言,纳入了3446例早产新生儿。早产新生儿的平均年龄为0.65(1.25)小时,52%为女性。早产新生儿死亡率为23.3%。预测早产新生儿死亡的母体因素为任何产前出血,AHR为1.99(1.60 - 2.47),而新生儿预测因素为接受正压通气的早产儿,AHR为1.30(1.08 - 1.57),体温<35.5°C,AHR为1.18(1.00 - 1.39),以及先天性畸形,AHR为3.31(2.64 - 4.16)。本研究确定了早产新生儿死亡率的关键母体和新生儿预测因素,强调了采取有针对性的干预措施以及开展合作性公共卫生工作以解决差异和区域差异的必要性。