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数字包容性金融、产业结构与经济增长——基于中国京津冀地区的实证分析。

Digital inclusive finance, industrial structure, and economic growth: An empirical analysis of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China.

机构信息

School of Economics, Hebei University, Baoding, China.

Center for Common Prosperity Research, Hebei University, Baoding, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Mar 19;19(3):e0299206. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299206. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

As a product of combining digital technology and traditional finance, digital inclusive finance plays a vital role in economic growth. This paper deeply analyzes the impact of digital inclusive finance on economic growth and the specific transmission path. This research selects the municipal panel data of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2011 to 2020 and empirically studies the impact of digital inclusive finance on economic growth. From the perspectives of industrial structure transformation speed, industrial structure upgrading, and industrial structure rationalization, this study analyzes the role of industrial structure in the impact of digital inclusive finance on economic growth and tests the heterogeneity of the impact of digital inclusive finance on economic growth. The results show that digital inclusive finance has a significant role in promoting economic growth. The depth of use of digital inclusive finance has the most significant impact, followed by the breadth of coverage, and the degree of digitization is the smallest. The industrial structure transformation speed and the industrial structure rationalization play a significant intermediary role in the economic growth effect of digital inclusive finance, and the industrial structure upgrading has no significant impact on the economic growth effect of digital inclusive finance; the promotion effect of digital inclusive finance on economic growth is bigger in the economically developed group, the higher digital inclusive finance group and the technologically developed group, and the promotion effect is smaller in the economically underdeveloped group, the lower digital inclusive finance group and the technologically underdeveloped group. The results provide a strong reference for policy formulation to promote the development of digital inclusive finance and economic growth.

摘要

作为数字技术与传统金融相结合的产物,数字包容性金融在经济增长中发挥着至关重要的作用。本文深入分析了数字包容性金融对经济增长的影响及其具体的传递路径。本研究选取了 2011 年至 2020 年京津冀的市级面板数据,实证研究了数字包容性金融对经济增长的影响。从产业结构转换速度、产业结构升级和产业结构合理化三个方面,分析了产业结构在数字包容性金融对经济增长影响中的作用,并检验了数字包容性金融对经济增长影响的异质性。结果表明,数字包容性金融对经济增长具有显著的促进作用。数字包容性金融的使用深度影响最大,其次是广度,数字化程度的影响最小。产业结构转换速度和产业结构合理化在数字包容性金融对经济增长的影响中发挥了显著的中介作用,产业结构升级对数字包容性金融对经济增长的影响没有显著影响;数字包容性金融对经济增长的促进作用在经济发达组、数字包容性金融水平高组和技术发达组中较大,在经济欠发达组、数字包容性金融水平低组和技术欠发达组中较小。研究结果为促进数字包容性金融和经济增长发展的政策制定提供了有力参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8a2e/10950223/0fa22a2b2ae9/pone.0299206.g001.jpg

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