Solovyeva Kseniya, Danks David, Abavisani Mohammadsajad, Plis Sergey
TReNDS center, Georgia State University, Atlanta.
University of California, San Diego.
Proc Mach Learn Res. 2023 Apr;213:518-530.
Domain scientists interested in causal mechanisms are usually limited by the frequency at which they can collect the measurements of social, physical, or biological systems. A common and plausible assumption is that higher measurement frequencies are the only way to gain more informative data about the underlying dynamical causal structure. This assumption is a strong driver for designing new, faster instruments, but such instruments might not be feasible or even possible. In this paper, we show that this assumption is incorrect: there are situations in which we can gain additional information about the causal structure by measuring more than our current instruments. We present an algorithm that uses graphs at multiple measurement timescales to infer underlying causal structure, and show that inclusion of structures at slower timescales can nonetheless reduce the size of the equivalence class of possible causal structures. We provide simulation data about the probability of cases in which deliberate undersampling yields a gain, as well as the size of this gain.
对因果机制感兴趣的领域科学家通常受到他们收集社会、物理或生物系统测量数据频率的限制。一个常见且合理的假设是,更高的测量频率是获取有关潜在动态因果结构更多信息数据的唯一途径。这一假设是设计新型、更快仪器的强大驱动力,但此类仪器可能不可行甚至无法实现。在本文中,我们表明这一假设是错误的:在某些情况下,我们可以通过比现有仪器更多的测量来获取有关因果结构的额外信息。我们提出一种算法,该算法在多个测量时间尺度上使用图来推断潜在因果结构,并表明纳入较慢时间尺度上的结构仍可减小可能因果结构等价类的规模。我们提供了关于故意欠采样产生增益的情况概率以及该增益大小的模拟数据。