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用于预测疑似原发性干燥综合征患者唇腺活检结果的非侵入性成像技术。

Non-invasive imaging for predicting labial salivary gland biopsy outcomes in patients with suspected primary Sjögren syndrome.

作者信息

Xu Nan, Wang Xuanhan, Dai Tiantian, Liu Nianxing, Ding Yimin, Chen Jinqiong, Tian Longlong, Fang Yuxuan, Zhang Yongbin, Li Guoqing

机构信息

Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, No. 368, Hangjiang RoadJiangsu Province, Yangzhou, 225000, People's Republic of China.

Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Qingdao West Coast New District People's Hospital, Qingdao, 266000, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Clin Rheumatol. 2024 May;43(5):1683-1692. doi: 10.1007/s10067-024-06949-w. Epub 2024 Apr 3.

Abstract

To identify the value of salivary gland ultrasound (SGUS) combined with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and magnetic resonance sialography (MRS) in predicting the results of labial salivary gland biopsy (LSGB) in patients with suspected primary Sjögren syndrome (pSS), and construct a nomogram model to predict LSGB results. A total of 181 patients who were admitted with suspected pSS from December 2018 to April 2023 were examined and divided into a training set (n = 120) and a validation set (n = 61). Baseline data of the two groups were examined, and the value of SGUS, MRI, and MRS in predicting LSGB was analyzed. Multivariate logistic analysis was used to screen for risk factors, and nomogram prediction models were constructed using these results. In the training set, the SGUS, MRI, and MRS scores of patients in the LSGB + group were higher than those in the LSGB - group (all P < 0.001). The positive prediction value (PPV) was 91% for an SGUS score of 3, and 82% for MRI and MRS scores of 2 or more. We developed a nomogram prediction model based on SGUS, MRI, and MRS data, and it had a concordance index (C-index) of 0.94. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test (χ = 3.17, P = 0.92) also indicated the nomogram prediction model had good accuracy and calibration for prediction of LSGB results. A nomogram model based on SGUS, MRI, and MRS results can help rheumatologists decide whether LSGB should be performed in patients with suspected pSS.

摘要

为确定唾液腺超声(SGUS)联合磁共振成像(MRI)及磁共振涎管造影(MRS)在预测疑似原发性干燥综合征(pSS)患者唇腺活检(LSGB)结果中的价值,并构建列线图模型以预测LSGB结果。对2018年12月至2023年4月收治的181例疑似pSS患者进行检查,并分为训练集(n = 120)和验证集(n = 61)。检查两组的基线数据,分析SGUS、MRI和MRS在预测LSGB中的价值。采用多因素逻辑回归分析筛选危险因素,并根据结果构建列线图预测模型。在训练集中,LSGB +组患者的SGUS、MRI和MRS评分高于LSGB -组(均P < 0.001)。SGUS评分为3时的阳性预测值(PPV)为91%,MRI和MRS评分为2及以上时为82%。我们基于SGUS、MRI和MRS数据开发了列线图预测模型,其一致性指数(C-index)为0.94。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验(χ = 3.17,P = 0.92)也表明列线图预测模型在预测LSGB结果方面具有良好的准确性和校准性。基于SGUS、MRI和MRS结果的列线图模型可帮助风湿病学家决定是否应对疑似pSS患者进行LSGB。

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