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居民参与股票市场的同群效应:来自 2019 年中国家庭金融调查的证据。

The peer effects of resident stock market participation: Evidence from 2019 CHFS.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Mianyang Teachers'College, Mianyang, 621000, China.

School of Finance, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, 610074, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Apr 10;19(4):e0298894. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0298894. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Limited resident's participation in the stock market has become a key constraint to the capital market development. Utilizing the 2019 China Household Financial Survey (CHFS) data, our paper designs probit models to examine the peer effects of residents' stock market participation and explore the intermediary mechanisms with a multiple intermediary model. We find that: (1) Resident involvement in stock market decision-making exhibits significant peer effects. (2) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that males and rural residents display more pronounced peer effects than females and urban residents. Additionally, middle-aged residents demonstrate more potent peer effects than their younger and older counterparts, with the intensity of peer effects correlating with education levels. (3)We observe that the peer effects of market participation operate by altering economic expectations and enhancing residents' financial literacy. (4) Further investigation establishes that individuals engaging in stock market investments manifest peer effects when deciding whether to diversify their stock portfolio. This study holds reference value for analyzing the impact of social interaction on financial behaviors and regulating individuals' financial conduct.

摘要

居民参与股票市场的程度有限,已成为资本市场发展的关键制约因素。本文利用 2019 年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,通过设计 Probit 模型检验了居民参与股票市场的同伴效应,并利用多重中介模型探讨了其中介机制。研究结果表明:(1)居民参与股票市场决策存在显著的同伴效应。(2)异质性分析表明,男性和农村居民比女性和城镇居民表现出更为显著的同伴效应。此外,中年居民比年轻和老年居民表现出更强的同伴效应,且同伴效应的强度与教育水平呈正相关。(3)我们发现,市场参与的同伴效应是通过改变经济预期和提高居民的金融素养来发挥作用的。(4)进一步的研究表明,个体在决定是否分散股票投资组合时,会表现出股票市场投资的同伴效应。本研究对于分析社会互动对金融行为的影响以及规范个体金融行为具有参考价值。

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本文引用的文献

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Rev Econ Stat. 2013 Dec 1;95(5):1535-1548. doi: 10.1162/REST_a_00328.
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