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在新冠疫情期间使用极值搜索对社交距离进行快速瞬态优化

Fast transient optimization of social distancing during Covid-19 pandemics using extremum seeking.

作者信息

Dewasme Laurent, Wouwer Alain Vande

机构信息

Systems, Estimation, Control and Optimization (SECO), University of Mons (UMONS), 7000 Mons, Belgium.

出版信息

IFAC Pap OnLine. 2021;54(15):145-150. doi: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.246. Epub 2021 Nov 2.

Abstract

In this work, the application of a model-free extremum seeking strategy is investigated to achieve the hypothetical control of the covid-19 pandemics by acting on social distancing. The advantage of this procedure is that it does not rely on the accurate knowledge of an epidemiological model and takes realistic constraints into account, such as hospital capacities. The simulation study reveals that the convergence has two time scales, with a fast catch of the transient optimum of the measurable cost function, followed by a slow tracking of this optimum following the original SIR dynamics. Several issues are discussed such as quantization of the sanitary measures.

摘要

在这项工作中,研究了一种无模型极值搜索策略的应用,通过对社会距离采取行动来实现对新冠疫情的假设性控制。该方法的优点是不依赖于流行病学模型的准确知识,并考虑了现实的约束条件,如医院容量。仿真研究表明,收敛有两个时间尺度,先是快速捕捉可测量成本函数的瞬态最优值,然后是在原始SIR动态之后缓慢跟踪该最优值。还讨论了几个问题,如卫生措施的量化。

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本文引用的文献

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Robust and optimal predictive control of the COVID-19 outbreak.对新冠疫情的稳健且最优预测控制
Annu Rev Control. 2021;51:525-539. doi: 10.1016/j.arcontrol.2020.11.002. Epub 2020 Dec 23.
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Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development.建模在 COVID-19 政策制定中的作用。
Paediatr Respir Rev. 2020 Sep;35:57-60. doi: 10.1016/j.prrv.2020.06.013. Epub 2020 Jun 18.

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