Echocardiographic parameters as adjuncts to the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index in predicting 30-day mortality in acute pulmonary embolism patients.

BACKGROUND

The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) is a validated tool to predict 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) but includes only clinical variables.

AIMS

We aimed to determine the effectiveness of PESI extended with an echocardiographic parameter.

METHODS

This cross-sectional observational study included consecutive patients with acute PE diagnosed with computed tomography pulmonary angiography.

RESULTS

Of 117 subjects (57 men, 48.7%), at a median age of 69 (59-80) years, 16 patients died during the 30-day follow-up. Six modified models of PESI with an additional single echocardiographic parameter were created, which increased the predictive value of PESI (area under the curve [AUC] 0.8608): tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) <18 mm, right ventricular (RV) free wall longitudinal strain (RVFWLS) >-23%, 60/60 sign, RV global longitudinal strain (RVGLS) >-16%, pulmonary ejection acceleration time (AcT) <67 ms, and thrombus in right heart cavities (AUC 0.8657 to 0.8976, respectively, all markers P <0.001). TAPSE, AcT, RVFWLS, and RVGLS showed significant correlations with the PESI score, but not a thrombus in the right heart cavity or the 60/60 sign. As PESI adjuncts, they independently predicted fatal outcomes: thrombus with hazard ratio (HR) 10.04 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.81-37.12; P <0.001) and the 60/60 sign with HR 4.07 (95% CI, 1.27-12.81; P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The quantitative echocardiographic parameters of RV systolic function and pulmonary artery blood flow are associated with the PESI score and thus increase its predictive value to a limited extent. PE- specific findings: a thrombus in the right heart cavity and the 60/60 sign are effective adjuncts to the PESI score.