School of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran.
PLoS One. 2024 Apr 22;19(4):e0299699. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299699. eCollection 2024.
Portfolio optimization involves finding the ideal combination of securities and shares to reduce risk and increase profit in an investment. To assess the impact of risk in portfolio optimization, we utilize a significant volatility risk measure series. Behavioral finance biases play a critical role in portfolio optimization and the efficient allocation of stocks. Regret, within the realm of behavioral finance, is the feeling of remorse that causes hesitation in making significant decisions and avoiding actions that could lead to poor investment choices. This behavior often leads investors to hold onto losing investments for extended periods, refusing to acknowledge mistakes and accept losses. Ironically, by evading regret, investors may miss out on potential opportunities. in this paper, our purpose is to compare investment scenarios in the decision-making process and calculate the amount of regret obtained in each scenario. To accomplish this, we consider volatility risk metrics and utilize stochastic optimization to identify the most suitable scenario that not only maximizes yield in the investment portfolio and minimizes risk, but also minimizes resulting regret. To convert each multi-objective model into a single objective, we employ the augmented epsilon constraint (AEC) method to establish the Pareto efficiency frontier. As a means of validating the solution of this method, we analyze data spanning 20, 50, and 100 weeks from 150 selected stocks in the New York market based on fundamental analysis. The results show that the selection of the mad risk measure in the time horizon of 100 weeks with a regret rate of 0.104 is the most appropriate research scenario. this article recommended that investors diversify their portfolios by investing in a variety of assets. This can help reduce risk and increase overall returns and improve financial literacy among investors.
投资组合优化涉及寻找证券和股票的理想组合,以降低投资风险并提高利润。为了评估投资组合优化中的风险影响,我们利用了一系列重要的波动性风险度量。行为金融学偏差在投资组合优化和股票的有效配置中起着关键作用。在行为金融学中,后悔是指因重大决策犹豫不决而产生的悔恨感,并避免做出可能导致糟糕投资选择的行动。这种行为常常导致投资者长期持有亏损投资,拒绝承认错误并接受损失。具有讽刺意味的是,投资者为了避免后悔,可能会错失潜在的机会。在本文中,我们的目的是比较决策过程中的投资情景,并计算每个情景中获得的遗憾程度。为此,我们考虑波动性风险指标,并利用随机优化来确定最合适的情景,该情景不仅最大限度地提高投资组合的收益率并最小化风险,而且最小化由此产生的遗憾。为了将每个多目标模型转换为单目标模型,我们采用增强的 ε 约束(AEC)方法来建立帕累托效率前沿。作为验证该方法解决方案的一种手段,我们根据基本面分析,分析了来自纽约市场 150 只选定股票的 20、50 和 100 周数据。结果表明,在 100 周的时间范围内选择 mad 风险度量,后悔率为 0.104,是最合适的研究情景。本文建议投资者通过投资多种资产来分散投资组合。这可以帮助降低风险并提高整体回报,并提高投资者的金融知识水平。