Trabulsi Nora, Khafagy Abdulmajeed M, Alhazmi Lenah S, Alghamdi Abdullah M, Alzahrani Abdulmajeed A, Banaamah Mohanned M, Farsi Ali, Shabkah Alaa, Samkari Ali, Al-Hajeili Marwan, Abduljabbar Ahmed, Wazzan Mohammad
From the Department of Surgery (Trabulsi, Alhazmi, Alzahrani, Samkari, Farsi); from the Department of Internal Medicine (Khafagy, Al-Hajeili); from the Department of Radiology (Banaamah, Abduljabbar, Wazzan), Faculty of Medicine, King Abdulaziz University, from the Department of Internal Medicine (Alghamdi), King Abdulaziz University Hospital, and from the Department of Surgery (Shabkah), International Medical Center, Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Med J. 2024 Apr;45(4):362-368. doi: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.4.20230954.
To assess and compare the Caprini and Padua risk assessment models (RAMs) for predicting venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized patients.
We retrospectively reviewed 28 VTE and 450 non-VTE patients hospitalized at King Abdulaziz University Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, in 2019. Their baseline medical, demographic, and radiological reports were recorded. We compared Caprini scores (defined at admission) and Padua scores (calculated retrospectively) for their ability to predict VTE. A cumulative risk score was created by adding the individual scores for each risk factor. We also analyzed the sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy of the RAM scores.
Major differences in risk factors were shown between patients with and without VTE. Previous VTE was significantly associated with a higher risk of VTE (28.6%), as was reduced mobility (57.1%), acute infection (25%), high Caprini score (50%), and high Padua score (64.3%, <0.05). The sensitivity of the Caprini score (96%) was higher than that of the Padua score (64.3%), as was the specificity (92.1% vs. 46.9%), positive predictive value (93% vs. 7%), and accuracy (94.1% vs. 47.9%). The specificity of the Caprini score was higher than that of the Padua score in Critical Care, Gynecology/Obstetrics, and Surgical departments. The Caprini RAM showed the lowest level of specificity in the medical department.
The Caprini RAM demonstrated higher sensitivity, specificity, and predictive accuracy than did the Padua RAM and thus distinguished low and high VTE risk in hospitalized patients.
评估并比较Caprini和Padua风险评估模型(RAMs)对预测住院患者静脉血栓栓塞症(VTE)的作用。
我们回顾性分析了2019年在沙特阿拉伯吉达阿卜杜勒阿齐兹国王大学医院住院的28例VTE患者和450例非VTE患者。记录他们的基线医疗、人口统计学和放射学报告。我们比较了Caprini评分(入院时定义)和Padua评分(回顾性计算)预测VTE的能力。通过将每个风险因素的个体评分相加得出累积风险评分。我们还分析了RAM评分的敏感性、特异性和诊断准确性。
有VTE和无VTE患者之间的风险因素存在重大差异。既往VTE与较高的VTE风险显著相关(28.6%),活动减少(57.1%)、急性感染(25%)、高Caprini评分(50%)和高Padua评分(64.3%,<0.05)也是如此。Caprini评分的敏感性(96%)高于Padua评分(64.3%),特异性(92.1%对46.9%)、阳性预测值(93%对7%)和准确性(94.1%对47.9%)也是如此。在重症监护、妇产科和外科科室,Caprini评分的特异性高于Padua评分。Caprini RAM在内科的特异性最低。
Caprini RAM比Padua RAM表现出更高的敏感性、特异性和预测准确性,因此能够区分住院患者的低VTE风险和高VTE风险。