Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering and Technology, SRM Institute of Science and Technology, 603 203, Kattankulathur, Chengalpattu District, Tamil Nadu, India.
Environ Monit Assess. 2024 May 9;196(6):526. doi: 10.1007/s10661-024-12676-1.
Flood disasters are frequent natural disasters that occur annually during the monsoon season and significantly impact urban areas. This area is characterized by impermeable concrete surfaces, which increase runoff and are particularly susceptible to flooding. Therefore, this study aims to adopt Bi-variate statistical methods such as frequency ratio (FR) and weight of evidence (WOE) to map flood susceptibility in an urbanized watershed. The study area encompasses an urbanized watershed surrounding the Chennai Metropolitan area in southern India. The essential parameters considered for flood susceptibility zonation include geomorphology, soil, land use/land cover (LU/LC), rainfall, drainage, slope, aspect, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). The flood susceptibility map was derived using 70% of randomly selected flood areas from the flood inventory database, and the other 30% was used for validation using the area under curve (AUC) method. The AUC method produced a frequency ratio of 0.806 and a weight of evidence value of 0.865 contributing to the zonation of the three classes. The study further investigates the impact of urbanization on flood susceptibility and is further classified into high, moderate, and low flood risk zones. With the abrupt change in climatic scenarios, there is an increase in the risk of flash floods. The results of this study can be used by policymakers and planners in developing a preparedness system to mitigate economic, human, and property losses due to floods in any urbanized watershed.
洪水灾害是季风季节每年都会发生的频繁自然灾害,对城市地区影响重大。该地区的特点是不透水的混凝土表面,这增加了径流量,使其特别容易发生洪水。因此,本研究旨在采用二元统计方法,如频率比(FR)和证据权重(WOE),来绘制城市化流域的洪水易感性图。研究区域包括印度南部钦奈大都市区周围的城市化流域。用于洪水易感性分区的基本参数包括地貌、土壤、土地利用/土地覆盖(LU/LC)、降雨、排水、坡度、方位、地形湿度指数(TWI)和归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)。洪水易感性图是使用洪水清单数据库中随机选择的 70%的洪水区域来生成的,其余 30%则使用曲线下面积(AUC)方法进行验证。AUC 方法产生的频率比为 0.806,证据权重值为 0.865,有助于将三个类别进行分区。本研究进一步探讨了城市化对洪水易感性的影响,并进一步分为高、中、低洪水风险区。随着气候情景的急剧变化,暴洪的风险增加了。本研究的结果可被决策者和规划者用于制定备灾系统,以减轻任何城市化流域因洪水造成的经济、人员和财产损失。