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撒哈拉以南非洲气候变化情况下玉米、小米、高粱和小麦的每日偏差校正气象数据及每日模拟生长数据。

Daily bias-corrected weather data and daily simulated growth data of maize, millet, sorghum, and wheat in the changing climate of sub-Saharan Africa.

作者信息

Alimagham Seyyedmajid, van Loon Marloes P, Ramirez-Villegas Julian, Berghuijs Herman N C, van Ittersum Martin K

机构信息

Plant Production Systems Group, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 430, 6700AK Wageningen, the Netherlands.

Bioversity International, Via di San Domenico 1, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

Data Brief. 2024 Apr 23;54:110455. doi: 10.1016/j.dib.2024.110455. eCollection 2024 Jun.

Abstract

Crop models are the primary means by which agricultural scientists assess climate change impacts on crop production. Site-based and high-quality weather and climate data is essential for agronomically and physiologically sound crop simulations under historical and future climate scenarios. Here, we describe a bias-corrected dataset of daily agro-meteorological data for 109 reference weather stations distributed across key production areas of maize, millet, sorghum, and wheat in ten sub-Saharan African countries. The dataset leverages extensive ground observations from the Global Yield Gap Atlas (GYGA), an existing climate change projections dataset from the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), and a calibrated crop simulation model (the WOrld FOod Studies -WOFOST). The weather data were bias-corrected using the delta method, which is widely used in climate change impact studies. The bias-corrected dataset encompasses daily values of maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation rate, and global radiation obtained from five models participating in the Sixth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), as well as simulated daily growth variables for the four crops. The data covers three periods: historical (1995-2014), 2030 (2020-2039), and 2050 (2040-2059). The simulation of daily growth dynamics for maize, millet, sorghum, and wheat growth was performed using the daily weather data and the WOFOST crop model, under potential and water-limited potential conditions. The crop simulation outputs were evaluated using national agronomic expertise. The presented datasets, including the weather dataset and daily simulated crop growth outputs, hold substantial potential for further use in the investigation of future climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa. The daily weather data can be used as an input into other modelling frameworks for crops or other sectors (e.g., hydrology). The weather and crop growth data can provide key insights about agro-meteorological conditions and water-limited crop output to inform adaptation priorities and benchmark (gridded) crop simulations. Finally, the weather and simulated growth data can also be used for training machine learning techniques for extrapolation purposes.

摘要

作物模型是农业科学家评估气候变化对作物生产影响的主要手段。基于站点的高质量天气和气候数据对于在历史和未来气候情景下进行农艺和生理上合理的作物模拟至关重要。在此,我们描述了一个经过偏差校正的每日农业气象数据集,该数据集涵盖了分布在撒哈拉以南非洲十个国家的玉米、小米、高粱和小麦主要产区的109个参考气象站。该数据集利用了来自全球产量差距地图集(GYGA)的大量地面观测数据、部门间模型比较项目(ISIMIP)现有的气候变化预测数据集以及一个经过校准的作物模拟模型(世界粮食研究 - WOFOST)。天气数据使用在气候变化影响研究中广泛使用的德尔塔方法进行偏差校正。经过偏差校正的数据集包括参与耦合模型比较项目第六阶段(CMIP6)的五个模型获得的每日最高和最低温度、降水率以及全球辐射值,以及四种作物的模拟每日生长变量。数据涵盖三个时期:历史时期(1995 - 2014年)、2030年(2020 - 2039年)和2050年(2040 - 2059年)。在潜在和水分限制的潜在条件下,使用每日天气数据和WOFOST作物模型对玉米、小米、高粱和小麦的每日生长动态进行了模拟。作物模拟输出使用国家农艺专业知识进行了评估。所呈现的数据集,包括天气数据集和每日模拟作物生长输出,在进一步研究撒哈拉以南非洲未来气候变化影响方面具有巨大的潜在用途。每日天气数据可作为其他作物或其他部门(如水文)建模框架的输入。天气和作物生长数据可以提供有关农业气象条件和水分限制作物产量的关键见解,以确定适应重点并为(网格化)作物模拟设定基准。最后,天气和模拟生长数据还可用于训练机器学习技术以进行外推。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0cad/11081774/c50b39e31e5a/gr1.jpg

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