Rose G
Int J Epidemiol. 1985 Mar;14(1):32-8. doi: 10.1093/ije/14.1.32.
Aetiology confronts two distinct issues: the determinants of individual cases, and the determinants of incidence rate. If exposure to a necessary agent is homogeneous within a population, then case/control and cohort methods will fail to detect it: they will only identify markers of susceptibility. The corresponding strategies in control are the 'high-risk' approach, which seeks to protect susceptible individuals, and the population approach, which seeks to control the causes of incidence. The two approaches are not usually in competition, but the prior concern should always be to discover and control the causes of incidence.
个别病例的决定因素和发病率的决定因素。如果人群中对某种必要因素的暴露是均匀的,那么病例对照研究和队列研究方法将无法检测到它:它们只会识别易感性标记。相应的防控策略是“高危”方法,即试图保护易感个体;以及人群方法,即试图控制发病率的原因。这两种方法通常并不相互竞争,但首要关注点始终应是发现并控制发病率的原因。