Kuvvetli Ümit, Çilengiroğlu Özgül Vupa
Department of Business Administration, Bakircay University, İzmir, Türkiye.
Department of Statistics, Dokuz Eylül University, İzmir, Türkiye.
J Hum Kinet. 2024 Feb 17;92:161-179. doi: 10.5114/jhk/175398. eCollection 2024 Apr.
The home advantage (HA) is a robust phenomenon in soccer whereby the home team wins more games and scores more goals than the away team. Similarly, away disadvantage (AD) means that an away team loses more games or scores less goals than the home team. This study examines the HA and AD values of teams in the UEFA-Champions League, covering the seasons from 2003/2004 to 2021/2022, a total of 2,344 matches. Controlling for team ability differences, the study revealed significant variations in HA, ranging from 32.1% to 79.5%, while AD values ranged from 45.1% to 71.9%. The study further found that HA remained consistent for teams across both the group and knockout stages, while AD varied between these stages. Furthermore, the results suggest that, for certain teams, HA is predominantly manifested against weaker opponents, and the impact of opponent strength on HA and AD is limited.
主场优势（HA）是足球运动中的一种显著现象，即主场球队比客场球队赢得更多比赛且进球更多。同样，客场劣势（AD）意味着客场球队比主场球队输掉更多比赛或进球更少。本研究考察了2003/2004赛季至2021/2022赛季欧洲冠军联赛各球队的主场优势和客场劣势值，共计2344场比赛。在控制球队能力差异的情况下，研究发现主场优势存在显著差异，范围从32.1%至79.5%，而客场劣势值范围从45.1%至71.9%。研究还发现，各球队在小组赛和淘汰赛阶段的主场优势保持一致，而客场劣势在这两个阶段有所不同。此外，结果表明，对于某些球队来说，主场优势主要体现在对阵较弱对手时，对手实力对主场优势和客场劣势的影响有限。
