Institute of Mathematical Science and Computing, University of São Paulo, São Carlos, Brazil.
Faculty of Mathematics, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Sci Rep. 2024 May 14;14(1):10994. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-57548-3.
In this paper, we propose a novel pricing model for delivery insurance in a food delivery company in Latin America, with the aim of reducing the high costs associated with the premium paid to the insurer. To achieve this goal, a thorough analysis was conducted to estimate the probability of losses based on delivery routes, transportation modes, and delivery drivers' profiles. A large amount of data was collected and used as a database, and various statistical models and machine learning techniques were employed to construct a comprehensive risk profile and perform risk classification. Based on the risk classification and the estimated probability associated with it, a new pricing model for delivery insurance was developed using advanced mathematical algorithms and machine learning techniques. This new pricing model took into account the pattern of loss occurrence and high and low-risk behaviors, resulting in a significant reduction of insurance costs for both the contracting company and the insurer. The proposed pricing model also allowed for greater flexibility in insurance contracting, making it more accessible and appealing to delivery drivers. The use of estimated loss probabilities and a risk score for the pricing of delivery insurance proved to be a highly effective and efficient alternative for reducing the high costs associated with insurance, while also improving the profitability and competitiveness of the food delivery company in Latin America.
本文提出了一种拉丁美洲食品配送公司的新型配送保险定价模型,旨在降低向保险公司支付的高额保费。为了实现这一目标,我们对基于配送路线、运输方式和配送员档案的损失概率进行了全面分析。我们收集了大量数据作为数据库,并运用各种统计模型和机器学习技术构建了全面的风险概况并进行风险分类。基于风险分类和相关的估计概率,我们使用先进的数学算法和机器学习技术为配送保险开发了一种新的定价模型。该新定价模型考虑了损失发生模式以及高低风险行为,从而显著降低了签约公司和保险公司的保险成本。所提出的定价模型还为保险合同提供了更大的灵活性,使配送员更容易获得和接受保险。使用估计的损失概率和风险评分来为配送保险定价被证明是降低与保险相关的高额成本的一种非常有效和高效的替代方案,同时也提高了拉丁美洲食品配送公司的盈利能力和竞争力。