Department of Oral and Craniomaxillofacial Surgery, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine; College of Stomatology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University; National Center for Stomatology; National Clinical Research Center for Oral Diseases; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Stomatology; Shanghai Research Institute of Stomatology, China.
Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2024 Jul 1;279:116447. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.116447. Epub 2024 May 17.
Many studies suggested that short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) and coarse particulate matter (PM) was linked to elevated risk of cerebrovascular disease. However, little is known about the potentially differential effects of PM and PM on various types of cerebrovascular disease.
We collected individual cerebrovascular death records for all residents in Shanghai, China from 2005 to 2021. Residential daily air pollution data were predicted from a satellite model. The associations between particulate matters (PM) and cerebrovascular mortality were investigated by an individual-level, time-stratified, case-crossover design. The data was analyzed by the conditional logistic regression combined with the distributed lag model with a maximum lag of 7 days. Furthermore, we explored the effect modifications by sex, age and season.
A total of 388,823 cerebrovascular deaths were included. Monotonous increases were observed for mortality of all cerebrovascular diseases except for hemorrhagic stroke. A 10 μg/m rise in PM was related to rises of 1.35% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04%, 1.66%] in mortality of all cerebrovascular diseases, 1.84% (95% CI: 1.25%, 2.44%) in ischemic stroke, 1.53% (95% CI: 1.07%, 1.99%) in cerebrovascular sequelae and 1.56% (95% CI: 1.08%, 2.05%) in ischemic stroke sequelae. The excess risk estimates per each 10 μg/m rise in PM were 1.47% (95% CI: 1.10%, 1.84%), 1.53% (95% CI: 0.83%, 2.24%), 1.93% (95% CI: 1.38%, 2.49%) and 2.22% (95% CI: 1.64%, 2.81%), respectively. The associations of both pollutants with all cerebrovascular outcomes were robust after controlling for co-pollutants. The associations were greater in females, individuals > 80 years, and during the warm season.
Short-term exposures to both PM and PM may independently increase the mortality risk of cerebrovascular diseases, particularly of ischemic stroke and stroke sequelae.
许多研究表明,短期暴露于细颗粒物(PM)和粗颗粒物(PM)与脑血管疾病风险升高有关。然而,人们对 PM 和 PM 对各种类型脑血管疾病的潜在差异影响知之甚少。
我们收集了 2005 年至 2021 年期间中国上海所有居民的个体脑血管死亡记录。从卫星模型中预测了住宅每日空气污染数据。采用个体水平、时间分层、病例交叉设计研究颗粒物(PM)与脑血管死亡率之间的关系。通过条件逻辑回归与最大滞后 7 天的分布式滞后模型相结合对数据进行分析。此外,我们还探讨了性别、年龄和季节的效应修饰作用。
共纳入 388823 例脑血管死亡病例。除脑出血外,所有脑血管疾病的死亡率均呈单调递增趋势。PM 每增加 10μg/m,所有脑血管疾病的死亡率上升 1.35%(95%可信区间:1.04%,1.66%),缺血性卒中上升 1.84%(95%可信区间:1.25%,2.44%),脑血管后遗症上升 1.53%(95%可信区间:1.07%,1.99%),缺血性卒中后遗症上升 1.56%(95%可信区间:1.08%,2.05%)。每增加 10μg/m 的 PM,超额风险估计值分别为 1.47%(95%可信区间:1.10%,1.84%)、1.53%(95%可信区间:0.83%,2.24%)、1.93%(95%可信区间:1.38%,2.49%)和 2.22%(95%可信区间:1.64%,2.81%)。在控制了共污染物后,两种污染物与所有脑血管结局的关联均较为稳健。在女性、>80 岁的个体以及温暖季节,这种关联更为显著。
短期暴露于 PM 和 PM 可能会独立增加脑血管疾病的死亡率风险,尤其是缺血性卒中及其后遗症。