FIB-4 score as a predictor of COVID-19-related severity in hospitalized patients.

AIM

to determine the impact of liver fibrosis on the prognosis of COVID and liver injury associated with the infection.

METHODS

retrospective multicenter study including 575 patients requiring admission for COVID-19 between January and June 2020. Fibrosis index-4 (FIB-4) was calculated within six months prior to infection and at six months post-infection.

RESULTS

baseline FIB-4 was elevated in patients who died (1.91 ± 0.95 vs 1.43 ± 0.85; p < 0.001). In addition, 17.1 % (32/187) of patients with baseline FIB-4 < 1.45 died vs 52.9 % (9/17) with FIB-4 > 3.25 (p < 0.001). In the adjusted multivariate analysis, baseline FIB-4 (OR 1.61 [95 % CI: 1.19-2.18]; p = 0.002) was independently associated with mortality. Parameters associated with liver injury, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (28 ± 10 vs 45 ± 56 IU/l; p < 0.001) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (20 ± 12 vs 38 ± 48 IU/l; p < 0.001) were significantly higher at admission compared to baseline. Furthermore, FIB-4 increased from baseline to the time of admission (1.53 ± 0.88 vs 2.55 ± 1.91; p < 0.001), and up to 6.9 % (10/145) of patients with FIB-4 < 1.45 on admission died vs 47.5 % if FIB-4 > 3.25 (58/122) (p < 0.001). In the adjusted multivariate analysis, FIB-4 on admission (OR 1.14 [95 % CI: 1.03-1.27]; p = 0.015) was independently associated with mortality. In addition, AST (42 ± 38 vs 22 ± 17 IU/l; p < 0.001) and ALT (40 ± 50 vs 20 ± 19 IU/l; p < 0.001) were significantly reduced at six months after the resolution of infection. Accordingly, FIB-4 decreased significantly (2.12 ± 1.25 vs 1.32 ± 0.57; p < 0.001) six months after the infection.

CONCLUSION

increased FIB-4, either at baseline or at the time of admission, was associated with severity and mortality related to respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. However, the liver damage expressed by elevated transaminases and FIB-4 levels was reversible in most of patients.