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数字经济发展对社会保险基金收入的影响:来自中国的证据。

The effects of digital economy development on social insurance funds revenue: Evidence from China.

机构信息

School of Political Science and Law, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.

School of Public Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 21;19(5):e0303897. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0303897. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

China has experienced rapid development in the digital economy. Using data from 30 provinces in China between 2011 and 2017, this paper constructs a two-way fixed effects model to study the effects and mechanisms of the digital economy development on social insurance funds revenue. An increase of one unit in digital economy development led to a 0.56% increase in basic endowment insurance funds revenue and a 0.33% increase in basic health insurance funds revenue. The digital economy increased the social insurance funds revenue by promoting employment and increasing income. Furthermore, the effects of digital economic development on social insurance funds revenue were heterogeneous for different levels of economic development and urbanization. The conclusions stood after robustness tests by changing the method of weighting the digital economy indicators and using instrumental variables. This paper confirmed the positive role of the development of the digital economy in increasing the revenue of social insurance funds from the perspective of quantitative research and explored the mechanisms in depth. In order to increase social insurance funds revenue, it is essential to accelerate the development of the digital economy, especially in regions with lower economic development and urbanization, and to address the needs of the technically unemployed and those engaged in flexible employment.

摘要

中国的数字经济发展迅速。本文利用 2011 年至 2017 年中国 30 个省份的数据,构建了一个双向固定效应模型,研究了数字经济发展对社会保险基金收入的影响及其机制。数字经济发展每增加一个单位,基本养老保险基金收入就会增加 0.56%,基本医疗保险基金收入就会增加 0.33%。数字经济通过促进就业和增加收入,增加了社会保险基金收入。此外,数字经济发展对社会保险基金收入的影响在不同的经济发展水平和城市化水平下存在异质性。通过改变数字经济指标的加权方法和使用工具变量进行稳健性检验,结论仍然成立。本文从定量研究的角度证实了数字经济发展对增加社会保险基金收入的积极作用,并深入探讨了其机制。为了增加社会保险基金收入,必须加快数字经济发展,特别是在经济发展和城市化水平较低的地区,并满足技术失业者和灵活就业者的需求。

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