School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao, 266520, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jun;31(26):38153-38179. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-33802-z. Epub 2024 May 25.
The Chinese government seeks to promote economic growth and sustainable development while achieving carbon neutrality by establishing phased smart city pilots. Therefore, it is important to study whether smart city pilots can promote carbon emission efficiency (CEE). This paper constructs a multi-period difference-in-difference (DID) model based on panel data from 241 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2019, aiming to investigate the mechanism of the impact of smart city pilot policies (SCPP) on CEE and whether there is a rebound effect. The study found that smart city construction (SCC) significantly improves carbon efficiency, with pilot cities increasing their CEE by 1.4% compared to non-pilot cities. The conclusions remain robust under a variety of scenarios including the introduction of placebo tests, counterfactual tests, sample data screening, and omitted variable tests. The results of the mechanism test show that although the rebound effect can inhibit the improvement of CEE, the environment can be improved and the CEE can be enhanced through green technology innovation, industrial structure upgrading, energy structure optimization, environmental regulation effect, information technology support, and resource allocation effect. The heterogeneity results indicate that the SCPP is more effective in promoting CEE in cities in the eastern region, southern cities, environmentally friendly cities, large cities, and medium-sized cities. This study contributes to the existing literature in clarifying the environmental benefits of SCPP and provides valuable policy insights for cities to address climate change and sustainable development.
中国政府寻求在实现碳中和的同时促进经济增长和可持续发展,为此建立了分阶段的智慧城市试点。因此,研究智慧城市试点是否能够提高碳排放效率(CEE)非常重要。本文基于 2007 年至 2019 年中国 241 个地级市的面板数据,构建了一个多期差分(DID)模型,旨在研究智慧城市试点政策(SCPP)对 CEE 的影响机制以及是否存在反弹效应。研究发现,智慧城市建设(SCC)显著提高了碳效率,试点城市的 CEE 比非试点城市提高了 1.4%。在引入安慰剂检验、反事实检验、样本数据筛选和遗漏变量检验等多种情景下,结论仍然稳健。机制检验结果表明,尽管反弹效应会抑制 CEE 的提高,但可以通过绿色技术创新、产业结构升级、能源结构优化、环境监管效应、信息技术支持和资源配置效应来改善环境并提高 CEE。异质性结果表明,SCPP 在东部地区、南部城市、环保城市、大城市和中型城市中更有效地促进 CEE。本研究对现有文献在澄清 SCPP 的环境效益方面做出了贡献,并为城市应对气候变化和可持续发展提供了有价值的政策见解。