科技创新在中国产业升级中的作用：空间计量经济学分析。
Role of scientific and technological innovations on industrial upgradation in China: A spatial econometric analysis.
机构信息
School of Urban Economics, Lanzhou City University, Lanzhou, China.
Department of Economics, Division of Management and Administrative Science, University of Education, Lahore, Pakistan.
出版信息
PLoS One. 2024 May 30;19(5):e0304344. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0304344. eCollection 2024.
China is in a phase of high-quality development, where scientific and technological innovations are serving as the primary driving force for its development strategy. This emphasis on innovations is expected to fuel the upgrading of the industrial structure. This study investigates the role of scientific and technological innovations in industrial upgradation in China using spatial econometric analysis. Leveraging the data of 31 provinces of China from 2005 to 2022, we employed a spatial Durbin model to determine the spatial spillover effects of scientific and technological innovations on industrial upgradation. Our findings reveal the significant positive spatial spillover effects, indicating that provinces with higher levels of scientific and technological innovations tend to experience greater industrial upgradation, which in turn contributes to regional economic development. Furthermore, the findings suggest a strong spatial correlation between innovation and the upgrading of industrial structures, indicating that regional innovations have the potential to drive China's industrial upgradation. These results underscore the critical role of scientific and technological innovations in promoting industrial upgradation and regional development in China.
中国正处于高质量发展阶段，科技创新是其发展战略的主要驱动力。这种对创新的重视预计将推动产业结构升级。本研究使用空间计量经济学分析探讨了科技创新在中国产业升级中的作用。利用 2005 年至 2022 年中国 31 个省份的数据，我们采用空间杜宾模型确定了科技创新对产业升级的空间溢出效应。研究结果显示，科技创新对产业升级具有显著的正向空间溢出效应，表明科技创新水平较高的省份往往经历更大的产业升级，从而促进了区域经济发展。此外，研究结果还表明创新与产业结构升级之间存在较强的空间相关性，这表明区域创新有潜力推动中国的产业升级。这些结果突显了科技创新在中国促进产业升级和区域发展中的关键作用。
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