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印度次大陆不同时间尺度上大气水分输送的空间多样性及气候遥相关

Spatial diversity of atmospheric moisture transport and climate teleconnections over Indian subcontinent at different timescales.

作者信息

Raghuvanshi Akash Singh, Agarwal Ankit

机构信息

Department of Hydrology, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, 247667, India.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 May 31;14(1):12512. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-62760-2.

Abstract

Regional weather and climate are generally impacted by global climatic phenomenon's. Understanding the impact of global climate phenomenon's on an atmospheric branch of the hydrological cycle is crucial to make advances in skillful precipitation forecast. The present study adopts a multiscale approach based on wavelets for unravelling the linkages between teleconnections and atmospheric moisture transport over homogeneous regions of Indian sub-continent. We investigated linkages between atmospheric moisture transport quantified as monthly integrated water vapor transport (IVT) during 1951-2022 over selected homogeneous regions and eight large scale climate oscillations using wavelet and global wavelet coherence. Our results indicate significant heterogeneity in linkages across different regions and across multiple timescales. In particular, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) influence monthly IVT at intra-annual to inter-annual scale over all regions. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have strong connection to monthly IVT at inter-annual scale whereas over west central region both IOD and ENSO strongly influence IVT at inter-decadal scale. While the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation have an impact on IVT in the north-east and southern regions, the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic oscillation have a strong inter-annual connection to IVT, majorly in the northwest and hilly regions. Overall, the methodology offers an effective approach for capturing the dynamics of atmospheric moisture transport in time-frequency space and provide a practical reference for prediction of atmospheric moisture transport linked precipitation over different regions of Indian subcontinent.

摘要

区域天气和气候通常受到全球气候现象的影响。了解全球气候现象对水文循环大气分支的影响对于在精准降水预报方面取得进展至关重要。本研究采用基于小波的多尺度方法来揭示印度次大陆同质区域遥相关与大气水分输送之间的联系。我们使用小波和全局小波相干性研究了1951 - 2022年期间选定同质区域的月积分水汽输送(IVT)量化的大气水分输送与八种大尺度气候振荡之间的联系。我们的结果表明,不同区域和多个时间尺度上的联系存在显著异质性。特别是,印度洋偶极子(IOD)在所有区域的年内到年际尺度上影响月IVT。厄尔尼诺 - 南方涛动(ENSO)在年际尺度上与月IVT有很强的联系,而在中西部地区,IOD和ENSO在年代际尺度上都强烈影响IVT。虽然大西洋多年代际振荡和太平洋年代际振荡对东北部和南部地区的IVT有影响,但北极涛动和北大西洋涛动与IVT有很强的年际联系,主要在西北部和丘陵地区。总体而言,该方法为在时频空间中捕捉大气水分输送的动态提供了一种有效方法,并为预测印度次大陆不同区域与大气水分输送相关的降水提供了实际参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d89a/11143228/a6245ab53b8a/41598_2024_62760_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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