Degrenne Olivier, Carling Christopher
Val de Marne, Université Paris-Est Créteil Val de Marne, Creteil, France.
French Football Federation Research Center, Clairefontaine National Football Centre, Clairefontaine-en-Yvelines, France.
Front Sports Act Living. 2024 May 22;6:1394621. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2024.1394621. eCollection 2024.
The main aim of this study was to compare goal scoring patterns between the two most recent FIFA World Cup (WC) tournaments: Russia 2018 and Qatar 2022. Match performance data were extracted using the ProVision database (StatsPerform, Chicago, USA). Variables used to analyse goals (not including penalty shootout goals) included the match period in which these were scored, the type of action and different types of play, body part used, defensive pressure, possession duration and expected goals (xG) values. A Chi-square test was used to compare qualitative variables across competitions while quantitative variables were compared using a nonparametric Mann-Whitney -test for independent samples. Altogether, 169 goals were scored in WC 2018 vs. 172 goals in WC 2022. No differences occurred across competitions for the period in which goals were scored. In both tournaments the majority was scored in the second-half and towards the end of play. Significant differences were observed for the type of action, type of play and body part used prior to scoring a goal ( < .05). These differences can be explained by the record number of own goals and goals scored from set-pieces in 2018 and an increase in goals scored from open-play (from positional attacks notably) in 2022. Analysis of open-play situations showed that teams recorded a higher xG value and converted more of their chances (xG = 122.8 vs. 128 goals, xG difference = +5.2) in 2022 thus were more efficient compared with 2018. In sum, goal scoring patterns largely differed between the two most recent World Cup tournaments.
本研究的主要目的是比较最近两届国际足联世界杯（WC）赛事——2018年俄罗斯世界杯和2022年卡塔尔世界杯的进球模式。使用ProVision数据库（美国芝加哥StatsPerform公司）提取比赛表现数据。用于分析进球（不包括点球大战进球）的变量包括进球的比赛时段、动作类型和不同的比赛类型、使用的身体部位、防守压力、控球时长和预期进球（xG）值。使用卡方检验比较不同赛事的定性变量，而定量变量则使用独立样本的非参数曼-惠特尼检验进行比较。2018年世界杯共进169球，2022年世界杯共进172球。不同赛事在进球时段方面没有差异。在这两届赛事中，大多数进球都在下半场和比赛接近尾声时。在进球前的动作类型、比赛类型和使用的身体部位方面观察到显著差异（<0.05）。这些差异可以解释为2018年乌龙球和定位球进球数量创纪录，以及2022年开放式进攻（尤其是阵地进攻）进球增加。对开放式进攻情况的分析表明，2022年各队的xG值更高，并且比2018年更多地转化了机会（xG = 122.8对128球，xG差值 = +5.2），因此效率更高。总之，最近两届世界杯赛事的进球模式有很大差异。
