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中原城市群煤炭消费PM2.5排放的时空分异特征及影响因素

Spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics and the influencing factors of PM2.5 emissions from coal consumption in Central Plains Urban Agglomeration.

作者信息

Yang Fujie, Yu Jiayi, Zhang Cheng, Li Li, Lei Yalin, Wu Sanmang, Wang Yibo, Zhang Xin

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100083, China.

School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China; Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100083, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2024 Oct 1;945:173778. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173778. Epub 2024 Jun 6.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173778
PMID:38851328
Abstract

Central Plains urban agglomeration (CPUA) had developed rapidly, but its air pollution was also serious. Despite advances in study on China's PM2.5 emissions from coal consumption (CC), the differentiation characteristics and the affecting variables of PM2.5 in CPUA required further investigation. This paper computed the PM2.5 emissions of each city from 2000 to 2020 using CC data from CPUA, evaluated its spatio-temporal fluctuation characteristics using the spatial autocorrelation and analyzed its influencing factors by combining various indicators through the spatial Durbin model (SDM). The results verified that: (1) There was a trend of rapid increase of PM2.5 emissions from CC; (2) The Moran's I of the PM2.5 emissions from CC showed a significant agglomeration effect; (3) PM2.5 emissions from CC had a strong spillover effect. The recommendations were in this following: (1) The urban pollution regulation and the pace of industrial green transformation should be Strengthened; (2) Close linkages between cities should be established and attention should be paid to pollution management; (3) The spillover of PM2.5 emissions from CC should be lessened and development of environmental governance technology should be enhanced.

摘要

中原城市群发展迅速,但其空气污染也很严重。尽管中国煤炭消费(CC)的PM2.5排放研究取得了进展,但中原城市群PM2.5的分异特征及影响因素仍需进一步研究。本文利用中原城市群的煤炭消费数据计算了2000—2020年各城市的PM2.5排放量,采用空间自相关分析评估其时空波动特征,并通过空间杜宾模型(SDM)结合各项指标分析其影响因素。结果表明:(1)煤炭消费的PM2.5排放量呈快速上升趋势;(2)煤炭消费的PM2.5排放量的莫兰指数显示出显著的集聚效应;(3)煤炭消费的PM2.5排放量具有很强的溢出效应。建议如下:(1)加强城市污染治理和产业绿色转型步伐;(2)建立城市间紧密联系,重视污染治理;(3)减少煤炭消费的PM2.5排放量溢出,加强环境治理技术发展。

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