Grup d'Estudis en Mobilitat, Transport i Territori (GEMOTT), Geography Department, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain; Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain.
Grup d'Estudis en Mobilitat, Transport i Territori (GEMOTT), Geography Department, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain.
Environ Int. 2024 Jul;189:108789. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108789. Epub 2024 Jun 5.
Urban and transportation policies are increasingly recognized for their potential to mitigate climate change impacts and address transport externalities. Amidst efforts to shift modal preferences and reduce transport emissions, cities are turning to spatialbased policies, such as Superblocks, to reshape urban mobility. This research examines the electoral outcomes associated with the implementation of Superblocks in Barcelona, focusing on their impact on political support for Barcelona en Comú (BEC) during the local elections of 2015 and 2023. Utilizing a combination of adjusted difference-in-differences and propensity score matching methods, we assessed the public's electoral response to the Superblock initiative amidst a backdrop of declining city-wide support for BEC. Our findings reveal that Superblock areas demonstrated significantly stronger support for BEC, suggesting a political premium for the party responsible for these urban interventions. Specifically, electoral support in Superblock districts saw an increase of 10-14% compared to the rest of the city. This result highlights the potential of urban transformation policies to influence political preferences locally and potentially validate the use of local electoral data as a tool for evaluating public response to highly contested urban policies.
城市和交通政策越来越被认为具有减轻气候变化影响和解决交通外部性的潜力。在努力改变交通方式偏好和减少交通排放的过程中，城市正在转向基于空间的政策，如超级街区，以重塑城市交通。本研究考察了巴塞罗那实施超级街区相关的选举结果，重点关注其对 2015 年和 2023 年地方选举中巴塞罗那共识（BEC）政治支持的影响。本研究采用调整后的差异分析和倾向评分匹配方法相结合，评估了公众对超级街区倡议的选举反应，同时考虑到全市范围内对 BEC 支持率下降的背景。我们的研究结果表明，超级街区地区对 BEC 的支持明显增强，这表明该党对这些城市干预措施负责，具有政治优势。具体来说，与城市其他地区相比，超级街区地区的选举支持率增加了 10-14%。这一结果突显了城市转型政策在当地影响政治偏好的潜力，并可能验证了使用地方选举数据作为评估公众对极具争议性的城市政策反应的工具的有效性。
