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与室内空气污染、动物接触和水源有关的癌症死亡率的人群归因分数:戈勒斯坦队列研究的结果。

Population attributable fractions of cancer mortality related to indoor air pollution, animal contact, and water source as environmental risk factors: Findings from the Golestan Cohort Study.

机构信息

Digestive Disease Research Center (DDRC), Digestive Disease Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Jun 10;19(6):e0304828. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0304828. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Environmental risk factors are significant contributors to cancer mortality, which are neglected.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to estimate the population attributable fraction of cancer mortality due to the environmental risk factors.

METHODS

Golestan cohort study is a population-base cohort on 50045 participants between 40-75 with about 18 years of follow up. We detected 2,196 cancer mortality and applied a multiple Cox model to compute the hazard ratio of environmental risk factor on all cancer and cancer-specific mortality. The population attributable fraction was calculated, accordingly.

RESULTS

Biomass fuels for cooking, as an indoor air pollution, increased the risk of colorectal, esophageal, gastric cancer, and all-cancer mortality by 84%, 66%, 37%, and 17% respectively. Using gas for cooking, particularly in rural areas, could save 6% [Population Attributable Fraction: 6.36(95%CI: 1.82, 10.70)] of esophageal cancer, 3% [Population Attributable Fraction: 3.43 (0, 7.33)] of gastric cancer, and 6% [Population Attributable Fraction: 6.25 (1.76, 13.63)] of colorectal cancer mortality. Using a healthy tap water source could save 5% [Population Attributable Fraction:5.50(0, 10.93)] of esophageal cancer mortality, particularly in rural areas. There was no significant association between indoor air pollution for heating purposes and animal contact with cancer mortality.

CONCLUSION

Considering the results of this study, eliminating solid fuel for most daily usage, among the population with specific cancer types, is required to successfully reduce cancer related mortality. Adopting appropriate strategies and interventions by policymakers such as educating the population, allocating resources for improving the healthy environment of the community, and cancer screening policies among susceptible populations could reduce cancer related mortalities.

摘要

背景

环境风险因素是导致癌症死亡的重要因素,但往往被忽视。

目的

本研究旨在估计环境风险因素导致癌症死亡的人群归因分数。

方法

戈勒斯坦队列研究是一项针对 50045 名年龄在 40-75 岁之间的人群的基于人群的队列研究,随访时间约为 18 年。我们检测到 2196 例癌症死亡,并应用多 Cox 模型计算环境风险因素对所有癌症和癌症特异性死亡率的危害比。相应地计算了人群归因分数。

结果

烹饪用生物燃料作为室内空气污染,使结直肠癌、食管癌、胃癌和所有癌症死亡率分别增加了 84%、66%、37%和 17%。在农村地区使用气体作为烹饪燃料,特别是可以节省 6%[人群归因分数:6.36(95%CI:1.82,10.70)]的食管癌、3%[人群归因分数:3.43(0,7.33)]的胃癌和 6%[人群归因分数:6.25(1.76,13.63)]的结直肠癌死亡率。使用健康的自来水水源可以节省 5%[人群归因分数:5.50(0,10.93)]的食管癌死亡率,特别是在农村地区。室内空气供暖污染与动物接触与癌症死亡率之间没有显著关联。

结论

考虑到本研究的结果,需要消除固体燃料在大多数日常用途中的使用,针对特定癌症类型的人群,以成功降低癌症相关死亡率。政策制定者可以采取适当的策略和干预措施,例如教育民众、为改善社区健康环境分配资源以及在易感人群中开展癌症筛查政策,以降低癌症相关死亡率。

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