Department of Dermatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Department of Infectious Diseases, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Pigment Cell Melanoma Res. 2024 Nov;37(6):783-792. doi: 10.1111/pcmr.13181. Epub 2024 Jun 13.
Most recent studies on the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and cutaneous melanoma (CM) focused more on delayed diagnosis or advanced presentation. We aimed to ascertain mortality trends of CM between 2012 and 2022, focusing on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this serial population-based study, the National Vital Statistics System dataset was queried for mortality data. Excess CM-related mortality rates were estimated by calculating the difference between observed and projected mortality rates during the pandemic. Totally there were 108,853 CM-associated deaths in 2012-2022. CM-associated mortality saw a declining trend from 2012 to 2019 overall. However, it increased sharply in 2020 (ASMR 3.73 per 100,000 persons, 5.95% excess mortality), and remained high in 2021 and 2022, with the ASMRs of 3.82 and 3.81, corresponding to 11.17% and 13.20% excess mortality, respectively. The nonmetro areas had the most pronounced rise in mortality with 12.20% excess death in 2020, 15.33% in 2021 and 20.52% in 2022, corresponding to a 4-6 times excess mortality risk compared to large metro areas during the pandemic. The elderly had the most pronounced rise in mortality, but the mortality in the younger population was reduced.
最近关于 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行和皮肤黑色素瘤(CM)的研究主要集中在诊断延迟或晚期表现上。我们旨在确定 2012 年至 2022 年间 CM 的死亡率趋势,重点关注 COVID-19 大流行的影响。在这项连续的基于人群的研究中,国家生命统计系统数据集被查询了死亡率数据。通过计算大流行期间观察到的死亡率与预测死亡率之间的差异,估计了与 CM 相关的超额死亡率。在 2012-2022 年期间,共有 108853 例与 CM 相关的死亡。总体而言,从 2012 年到 2019 年,CM 相关的死亡率呈下降趋势。然而,2020 年死亡率急剧上升(ASMR 为每 10 万人 3.73 人,超额死亡率为 5.95%),2021 年和 2022 年仍居高不下,ASMR 分别为 3.82 和 3.81,分别对应 11.17%和 13.20%的超额死亡率。非都市区的死亡率上升最为明显,2020 年超额死亡 12.20%,2021 年和 2022 年分别为 15.33%和 20.52%,与大地铁地区相比,大流行期间的超额死亡风险增加了 4-6 倍。老年人的死亡率上升最为明显,但年轻人的死亡率有所下降。