通过握力增强运动性认知风险综合征对新发痴呆症和全因死亡率的预测效度:一项前瞻性队列研究的见解
Enhancing predictive validity of motoric cognitive risk syndrome for incident dementia and all-cause mortality with handgrip strength: insights from a prospective cohort study.
作者信息
Bai Weimin, Ma Ruizhu, Yang Yanhui, Xu Juan, Qin Lijie
机构信息
Department of Emergency, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, People's Hospital of Zhengzhou University, People's Hospital of Henan University, Zhengzhou, China.
Department of Endocrinology, The People's Hospital of Danyang, Danyang Hospital of Nantong University, Danyang, Jiangsu, China.
出版信息
Front Aging Neurosci. 2024 Jun 21;16:1421656. doi: 10.3389/fnagi.2024.1421656. eCollection 2024.
BACKGROUND
This study aimed to assess whether integrating handgrip strength (HGS) into the concept of motoric cognitive risk (MCR) would enhance its predictive validity for incident dementia and all-cause mortality.
METHODS
A cohort of 5, 899 adults from the Health and Retirement Study underwent assessments of gait speed, subjective cognitive complaints, and HGS were involved. Over a 10-year follow-up, biennial cognitive tests and mortality data were collected. Cox proportional hazard analyses assessed the predictive power of MCR alone and MCR plus HGS for incident dementia and all-cause mortality.
RESULTS
Patients with MCR and impaired HGS (MCR-HGS) showed the highest adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) for dementia (2.33; 95% CI, 1.49-3.65) and mortality (1.52; 95% CI, 1.07-2.17). Even patients with MCR and normal HGS (MCR-non-HGS) experienced a 1.77-fold increased risk of incident dementia; however, this association was not significant when adjusted for socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, and medical conditions. Nevertheless, all MCR groups demonstrated increased risks of all-cause mortality. The inclusion of HGS in the MCR models significantly improved predictive discrimination for both incident dementia and all-cause mortality, as indicated by improvements in the C-statistic, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification indices (NRI).
CONCLUSION
Our study underscores the incremental predictive value of adding HGS to the MCR concept for estimating risks of adverse health outcomes among older adults. A modified MCR, incorporating HGS, could serve as an effective screening tool during national health examinations for identifying individuals at risk of dementia and mortality.
背景
本研究旨在评估将握力(HGS)纳入运动认知风险(MCR)概念是否会增强其对新发痴呆症和全因死亡率的预测效度。
方法
来自健康与退休研究的5899名成年人队列接受了步态速度、主观认知主诉评估,并测量了握力。在10年的随访期内,每两年收集一次认知测试和死亡率数据。Cox比例风险分析评估了单独的MCR以及MCR加HGS对新发痴呆症和全因死亡率的预测能力。
结果
患有MCR且握力受损(MCR-HGS)的患者在痴呆症(调整后风险比[AHR]为2.33;95%置信区间[CI],1.49-3.65)和死亡率(AHR为1.52;95%CI,1.07-2.17)方面显示出最高的调整后风险比。即使是患有MCR且握力正常(MCR-非HGS)的患者,新发痴呆症的风险也增加了1.77倍;然而,在调整社会经济地位、生活方式因素和医疗状况后,这种关联并不显著。尽管如此,所有MCR组的全因死亡率风险均有所增加。如C统计量、综合判别改善(IDI)和净重新分类指数(NRI)的改善所示,将HGS纳入MCR模型显著提高了对新发痴呆症和全因死亡率的预测辨别力。
结论
我们的研究强调了在MCR概念中加入HGS对于估计老年人不良健康结局风险的增量预测价值。纳入HGS的改良MCR可作为国家健康检查期间识别有痴呆症和死亡风险个体的有效筛查工具。