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Predicting Suicidal Ideation, Planning, and Attempts among the Adolescent Population of the United States.

作者信息

Khosravi Hamed, Ahmed Imtiaz, Choudhury Avishek

机构信息

Industrial and Management Systems Engineering, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USA.

出版信息

Healthcare (Basel). 2024 Jun 25;12(13):1262. doi: 10.3390/healthcare12131262.


DOI:10.3390/healthcare12131262
PMID:38998797
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11241284/
Abstract

Suicide is the second leading cause of death among individuals aged 5 to 24 in the United States (US). However, the precursors to suicide often do not surface, making suicide prevention challenging. This study aims to develop a machine learning model for predicting suicide ideation (SI), suicide planning (SP), and suicide attempts (SA) among adolescents in the US during the coronavirus pandemic. We used the 2021 Adolescent Behaviors and Experiences Survey Data. Class imbalance was addressed using the proposed data augmentation method tailored for binary variables, Modified Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique. Five different ML models were trained and compared. SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis was conducted for explainability. The Logistic Regression model, identified as the most effective, showed superior performance across all targets, achieving high scores in recall: 0.82, accuracy: 0.80, and area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve: 0.88. Variables such as sad feelings, hopelessness, sexual behavior, and being overweight were noted as the most important predictors. Our model holds promise in helping health policymakers design effective public health interventions. By identifying vulnerable sub-groups within regions, our model can guide the implementation of tailored interventions that facilitate early identification and referral to medical treatment.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/67633c4d0e30/healthcare-12-01262-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/0aac6f216c6f/healthcare-12-01262-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/0d6dd357fdff/healthcare-12-01262-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/9ceb2ed9349a/healthcare-12-01262-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/42767735fd58/healthcare-12-01262-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/a5be20ad0c4d/healthcare-12-01262-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/67633c4d0e30/healthcare-12-01262-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/0aac6f216c6f/healthcare-12-01262-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/0d6dd357fdff/healthcare-12-01262-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/9ceb2ed9349a/healthcare-12-01262-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/42767735fd58/healthcare-12-01262-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/a5be20ad0c4d/healthcare-12-01262-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac3b/11241284/67633c4d0e30/healthcare-12-01262-g006.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Predicting Suicidal Ideation, Planning, and Attempts among the Adolescent Population of the United States.

Healthcare (Basel). 2024-6-25

[2]
Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Suicidal Thinking in Adolescents by Derivation and Validation in 3 Independent Worldwide Cohorts: Algorithm Development and Validation Study.

J Med Internet Res. 2024-5-17

[3]
Predicting suicidal behavior in individuals with depression over 50 years of age: Evidence from the UK biobank.

Digit Health. 2024-10-13

[4]
Prevalence, correlates, and treatment of lifetime suicidal behavior among adolescents: results from the National Comorbidity Survey Replication Adolescent Supplement.

JAMA Psychiatry. 2013-3

[5]
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JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2023-2-20

[6]
History of Physical Teen Dating Violence and Its Association With Suicidal Behaviors Among Adolescent High School Students: Results From the 2015 Youth Risk Behavior Survey.

J Interpers Violence. 2021-9

[7]
Exploring risk factors and their differences on suicidal ideation and suicide attempts among depressed adolescents based on decision tree model.

J Affect Disord. 2024-5-1

[8]
Association of Genome-Wide Polygenic Scores for Multiple Psychiatric and Common Traits in Preadolescent Youths at Risk of Suicide.

JAMA Netw Open. 2022-2-1

[9]
Prediction Models for Suicide Attempts among Adolescents Using Machine Learning Techniques.

Clin Psychopharmacol Neurosci. 2022-11-30

[10]
Suicidal ideation and suicide attempts among adults with psychotic experiences: data from the Collaborative Psychiatric Epidemiology Surveys.

JAMA Psychiatry. 2015-3

本文引用的文献

[1]
Chronic Disease Prediction Using the Common Data Model: Development Study.

JMIR AI. 2022-12-22

[2]
Predicting suicide attempts among Norwegian adolescents without using suicide-related items: a machine learning approach.

Front Psychiatry. 2023-9-26

[3]
Gender differences in suicide among patients with bipolar disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

J Affect Disord. 2023-10-15

[4]
Machine learning approaches for predicting suicidal behaviors among university students in Bangladesh during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional study.

Medicine (Baltimore). 2023-7-14

[5]
An efficient landmark model for prediction of suicide attempts in multiple clinical settings.

Psychiatry Res. 2023-5

[6]
Unraveling the complexities of urban fluvial flood hydraulics through AI.

Sci Rep. 2022-11-4

[7]
Prediction Models for Suicide Attempts among Adolescents Using Machine Learning Techniques.

Clin Psychopharmacol Neurosci. 2022-11-30

[8]
Suicide and self-harm.

Lancet. 2022-5-14

[9]
Classification of Adolescent Psychiatric Patients at High Risk of Suicide Using the Personality Assessment Inventory by Machine Learning.

Psychiatry Investig. 2021-11

[10]
Development of a Suicide Prediction Model for the Elderly Using Health Screening Data.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021-9-27

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