Li Xia, Qu Rui, Ji Yingfeng, Feng Lili, Zhu Weiling, Zhu Ye, Liao Xiaofeng, He Manqiu, Feng Zhisheng, Fan Wenjie, He Chang, Wang Weiming, Faheem Haris
State Key Laboratory of the Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
Qinghai Earthquake Administration, Xining 810001, China.
Sensors (Basel). 2024 Jul 1;24(13):4280. doi: 10.3390/s24134280.
Compelling evidence has shown that geomagnetic disturbances in vertical intensity polarization before great earthquakes are promising precursors across diverse rupture conditions. However, the geomagnetic vertical intensity polarization method uses the spectrum of smooth signals, and the anomalous waveforms of seismic electromagnetic radiation, which are basically nonstationary, have not been adequately considered. By combining pulse amplitude analysis and an experimental study of the cumulative frequency of anomalies, we found that the pulse amplitudes before the 2022 Luding M6.8 earthquake show characteristics of multiple synchronous anomalies, with the highest (or higher) values occurring during the analyzed period. Similar synchronous anomalies were observed before the 2021 Yangbi M6.4 earthquake, the 2022 Lushan M6.1 earthquake and the 2022 Malcolm M6.0 earthquake, and these anomalies indicate migration from the periphery toward the epicenters over time. The synchronous changes are in line with the recognition of previous geomagnetic anomalies with characteristics of high values before an earthquake and gradual recovery after the earthquake. Our study suggests that the pulse amplitude is effective for extracting anomalies in geomagnetic vertical intensity polarization, especially in the presence of nonstationary signals when utilizing observations from multiple station arrays. Our findings highlight the importance of incorporating pulse amplitude analysis into earthquake prediction research on geomagnetic disturbances.
有力证据表明,大地震前垂直强度极化中的地磁扰动是跨越不同破裂条件的有前景的前兆。然而,地磁垂直强度极化方法使用的是平滑信号的频谱,而地震电磁辐射的异常波形基本是非平稳的,尚未得到充分考虑。通过结合脉冲幅度分析和异常累积频率的实验研究,我们发现2022年泸定M6.8地震前的脉冲幅度呈现出多个同步异常的特征,在分析期间出现最高(或较高)值。在2021年漾濞M6.4地震、2022年芦山M6.1地震和2022年马尔康M6.0地震前也观察到类似的同步异常,并且这些异常表明随着时间推移从周边向震中迁移。这些同步变化与之前对具有震前高值和震后逐渐恢复特征的地磁异常的认识一致。我们的研究表明,脉冲幅度对于提取地磁垂直强度极化中的异常有效,特别是在利用多站阵列观测时存在非平稳信号的情况下。我们的发现突出了将脉冲幅度分析纳入地磁扰动地震预测研究的重要性。