Wang Melinda, Chiou Sy Han, Ganger Daniel, Ruck Jessica, Huang Chiung-Yu, Kappus Matthew R, King Elizabeth A, Ladner Daniela P, Rahimi Robert S, Duarte-Rojo Andres, Volk Michael L, Tevar Amit D, Verna Elizabeth C, Lai Jennifer C
Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Department of Statistics and Data Science, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Hepatology. 2025 Apr 1;81(4):1269-1275. doi: 10.1097/HEP.0000000000001030. Epub 2024 Jul 24.
Offering LT to frail patients may reduce waitlist mortality but may increase post-LT mortality. LT survival benefit is the concept of balancing these risks. We sought to quantify the net survival benefit with LT by liver frailty index (LFI).
We analyzed data in the multicenter Functional Assessment in LT (FrAILT) study from 2012 to 2021. Pre-LT cohort included ambulatory patients with cirrhosis awaiting LT, without HCC; the post-LT cohort included those who underwent LT. Primary outcomes were pre-LT and post-LT mortality. We computed 1-, 3-, and 5-year restricted mean survival times (RMSTs) from adjusted Cox models. The survival benefit was calculated as a net gain in life-years with LT. Pre-LT cohort included 2628 patients: median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium was 18 (IQR: 14-22); 731 (28%) were frail; 440 (17%) died before LT. Post-LT cohort included 1335 patients: median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium was 20 (IQR: 14-24); 325 (24%) were frail; 103 (8%) died after LT. Pre-LT RMST decreased substantially as LFI increased. Post-LT RMST also decreased as LFI increased but only modestly. There was no LFI threshold at which pre-LT and post-LT RMST intersected-patients had net survival benefits at all LFI values.
Pre-LT and, to a lesser degree, post-LT mortality increased as LFI increased. Transplant offered a survival benefit at all LFI values, driven by a reduction in pre-LT mortality. No threshold of LFI was identified at which the risk of post-LT mortality exceeded pre-LT mortality. LT offers net survival benefits even in the presence of advanced frailty among those selected for LT.
为体弱患者提供肝移植(LT)可能会降低等待名单上的死亡率,但可能会增加肝移植后的死亡率。肝移植生存获益是平衡这些风险的概念。我们试图通过肝脏脆弱指数(LFI)来量化肝移植的净生存获益。
我们分析了2012年至2021年多中心肝移植功能评估(FrAILT)研究中的数据。肝移植前队列包括等待肝移植的肝硬化门诊患者,无肝细胞癌(HCC);肝移植后队列包括接受肝移植的患者。主要结局是肝移植前和肝移植后的死亡率。我们从调整后的Cox模型计算1年、3年和5年受限平均生存时间(RMST)。生存获益计算为肝移植带来的生命年净增益。肝移植前队列包括2628例患者:终末期肝病-钠模型中位数为18(四分位间距:14 - 22);731例(28%)体弱;440例(17%)在肝移植前死亡。肝移植后队列包括1335例患者:终末期肝病-钠模型中位数为20(四分位间距:14 - 24);325例(24%)体弱;103例(8%)在肝移植后死亡。随着LFI增加,肝移植前RMST大幅下降。随着LFI增加,肝移植后RMST也下降,但仅略有下降。不存在肝移植前和肝移植后RMST相交的LFI阈值——所有LFI值的患者都有净生存获益。
随着LFI增加,肝移植前以及在较小程度上肝移植后的死亡率升高。由于肝移植前死亡率降低,移植在所有LFI值下都带来了生存获益。未发现肝移植后死亡率风险超过肝移植前死亡率的LFI阈值。即使在被选择进行肝移植的患者中存在严重体弱的情况下,肝移植仍提供净生存获益。