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中年和老年人内在能力下降的健康不良影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Adverse health effects of declined intrinsic capacity in middle-aged and older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Nursing, The Second Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Age Ageing. 2024 Jul 2;53(7). doi: 10.1093/ageing/afae162.

DOI:10.1093/ageing/afae162
PMID:39058916
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Intrinsic capacity refers to a broad range of health traits, including the physiological and psychological changes brought on by aging. Previous research has shown that intrinsic capacity, as an independent emerging construct, is a highly effective predictor of several health outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to summarise the predictive effect of intrinsic capacity at baseline on health outcomes among middle-aged and older adults.

DESIGN

A systematic review and meta-analysis.

PARTICIPANTS

Middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

We systematically searched up to 3 April 2024 in 10 electronic databases. Studies investigating the predictive effect of baseline composite intrinsic capacity and health outcomes were included. Publications that had reported hazard ratios (HRs) or odd ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as effect size were considered.

RESULTS

A total of 23 publications were included. The sample size ranged from 100 to 17 031. The results of the meta-analysis showed statistically significant prediction of adverse health outcomes such as disability (OR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.68-2.03, I2 = 41%, Pheterogeneity=.10), falls (OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.19-1.60, I2 = 45%, Pheterogeneity=.11), hospitalisation (OR = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.17-4.3, I2 = 68%, Pheterogeneity=.08), mortality (OR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.54-1.91, I2 = 32%, Pheterogeneity=.12) and frailty (OR = 1.57, 95% CI: 1.45-1.70, I2 = 2%, Pheterogeneity=.31) by the baseline composite intrinsic capacity.

CONCLUSIONS

Declined intrinsic capacity has potential predictive value for adverse health outcomes, further high-quality study is needed to validate these findings and strengthen their cumulative impact. Attention to health outcomes should also focus on both breadth and category precision.

摘要

背景

内在能力是指广泛的健康特征,包括由衰老引起的生理和心理变化。先前的研究表明,内在能力作为一个独立的新兴概念,是多种健康结果的有效预测指标。

目的

我们旨在总结中年和老年人基线内在能力对健康结果的预测作用。

设计

系统回顾和荟萃分析。

参与者

中年和老年人。

方法

我们系统地检索了截至 2024 年 4 月 3 日的 10 个电子数据库。纳入了研究基线综合内在能力对健康结果预测作用的研究。报告风险比 (HR) 或比值比 (OR) 和 95%置信区间 (CI) 作为效应量的出版物被认为是符合条件的。

结果

共纳入 23 项研究。样本量范围为 100 至 17031 人。荟萃分析结果显示,不良健康结果如残疾 (OR=1.84,95%CI:1.68-2.03,I2=41%,P 异质性=.10)、跌倒 (OR=1.38,95%CI:1.19-1.60,I2=45%,P 异质性=.11)、住院 (OR=2.25,95%CI:1.17-4.3,I2=68%,P 异质性=.08)、死亡 (OR=1.72,95%CI:1.54-1.91,I2=32%,P 异质性=.12)和衰弱 (OR=1.57,95%CI:1.45-1.70,I2=2%,P 异质性=.31)由基线综合内在能力预测。

结论

内在能力下降对不良健康结果具有潜在的预测价值,需要进一步进行高质量的研究来验证这些发现,并增强其累积影响。对健康结果的关注还应同时关注广度和类别精度。

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