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中国崇明岛主要人畜共患蜱类物种栖息地适宜性的鉴定

Identification of habitat suitability for the dominant zoonotic tick species on Chongming Island, China.

作者信息

Fei Si-Wei, Zhao Han-Qing, Yin Jing-Xian, Sun Zhi-Shan, Xue Jing-Bo, Lv Shan, Feng Xin-Yu, Guo Xiao-Kui, Zhou Xiao-Nong, Kassegne Kokouvi

机构信息

School of Global Health, Chinese Centre for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China.

National Institute of Parasitic Diseases at Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Centre for Tropical Diseases Research), National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHC) Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, World Health Organization (WHO) Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Centre for International Research on Tropical Diseases of the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, Shanghai 200025, China.

出版信息

Sci One Health. 2024 Apr 16;3:100068. doi: 10.1016/j.soh.2024.100068. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

ticks are pathogenic vectors that threaten human and animal health and were identified in Chongming, the third largest island in China. To understand the distribution of these ticks and determine their potential invasion risk, this study aimed to identify the habitat suitability of the dominant tick based on natural environmental factors. Geographic information system (GIS) images were combined with sample points from tick investigations to map the spatial distribution of . . Data on 19 bioclimatic variables, environmental variables, and satellite-based landscapes of Chongming Island were retrieved to create a landcover map related to natural environmental determinants of . These data included 38 sites associated with the vectors to construct species distribution models with MaxEnt, a model based on the maximum entropy principle, and to predict habitat suitability for on Chongming Island in 2050 and 2070 under different climate scenarios. The model performed well in predicting the . distribution, with a training area under the curve of 0.84 and a test area under the curve of 0.73. A habitat suitability map of the whole study area was created for . The resulting map and natural environment analysis highlighted the importance of the normalized difference vegetation index and precipitation in the driest month for the bioecology of , with 141.61 km (11.77%), 282.94 km (23.35%), and 405.30 km (33.69%) of highly, moderately, and poorly suitable habitats, respectively. The distribution decreased by 135.55 km and 138.82 km in 2050 and 2070, respectively, under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 1.2.6 climate change scenario. However, under SSP 5.8.5, the total area will decrease by 128.5 km in 2050 and increase by 151.64 km in 2070. From a One Health perspective, this study provides good knowledge that will guide tick control efforts to prevent the spread of ticks or transmission risk of -borne infections at the human-animal-environment interface on the island.

摘要

蜱虫是威胁人类和动物健康的致病媒介,在中国第三大岛崇明岛已发现蜱虫。为了解这些蜱虫的分布情况并确定其潜在入侵风险,本研究旨在基于自然环境因素确定优势蜱种的栖息地适宜性。将地理信息系统(GIS)图像与蜱虫调查的采样点相结合,以绘制蜱虫的空间分布地图。检索了崇明岛19个生物气候变量、环境变量和基于卫星的景观数据,以创建与蜱虫自然环境决定因素相关的土地覆盖图。这些数据包括38个与媒介相关的地点,用于使用基于最大熵原理的MaxEnt构建物种分布模型,并预测在不同气候情景下2050年和2070年崇明岛蜱虫的栖息地适宜性。该模型在预测蜱虫分布方面表现良好,训练曲线下面积为0.84,测试曲线下面积为0.73。为蜱虫创建了整个研究区域的栖息地适宜性地图。生成的地图和自然环境分析突出了归一化植被指数和最干旱月份降水量对蜱虫生物生态学的重要性,分别有141.61平方公里(11.77%)、282.94平方公里(23.35%)和405.30平方公里(33.69%)的高度适宜、中度适宜和低度适宜栖息地。在共享社会经济路径(SSP)1.2.6气候变化情景下,2050年和2070年分布面积分别减少135.55平方公里和138.82平方公里。然而,在SSP 5.8.5情景下,2050年总面积将减少128.5平方公里,2070年将增加151.64平方公里。从“同一健康”的角度来看,本研究提供了有益的知识,将指导蜱虫控制工作,以防止蜱虫在该岛的人畜环境界面传播或蜱传感染的传播风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7246/11262283/9c5a4f128819/gr1.jpg

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