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扩大生猪养殖规模是否能促进生猪养殖户实现碳中和?

Does Scaling Up Pig Farming Promote Carbon Neutrality Among Pig Farmers?

作者信息

Yao Wenjie

机构信息

College of Economics & Management, Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Hangzhou, 310018, China.

出版信息

Appl Biochem Biotechnol. 2024 Dec;196(12):9027-9048. doi: 10.1007/s12010-024-05029-8. Epub 2024 Aug 1.

Abstract

Pig farming is a major source of carbon emissions in China's livestock industry, and the promotion and application of carbon neutral technologies dedicated to carbon reduction and sequestration is a key measure to promote the realization of carbon neutrality in pig farming industry. In the absence of a system for carbon emission reduction in agriculture, it is important to explore whether large-scale pig farming can spontaneously promote the application of carbon neutral technologies by pig farmers. Combined with the technical background of carbon neutrality in pig farming industry and using the field survey data of 468 pig farmers in Shandong Province, this paper empirically analyzed the effect of large-scale pig farming on the carbon neutral behavior of pig farmers. The findings are threefold. Firstly, because of the effect of economies of scale in the application of carbon neutral technologies, large-scale pig farming can promote the carbon neutral behavior of pig farmers. However, the effect of economies of scale in the application of carbon neutral technologies has a boundary, and the annual output of pigs should be maintained at 3000 to 4999. Secondly, among the effects of pig breeding scale on the application and its degree of composting project, state of planting and breeding cycle has no regulating effect. Thirdly, among the effects of pig breeding scale on the application and its degree of biogas engineering, both state of planting and breeding cycle and subsidy for construction of biogas digester have negative regulating effects. In this paper, the pig farming industry is taken as a typical example to reveal the endogenous incentive mechanism of promoting agricultural carbon emission reduction, which provides theoretical reference and experience enlightenment for the formulation of effective policies to promote agricultural carbon neutrality, which are different from industrial industries.

摘要

养猪业是中国畜牧业碳排放的主要来源,推广应用致力于减碳固碳的碳中和技术是推动养猪业实现碳中和的关键举措。在农业碳排放减排体系缺失的情况下,探究大规模养猪能否自发促进养猪户应用碳中和技术具有重要意义。本文结合养猪业碳中和技术背景,利用山东省468户养猪户的实地调研数据,实证分析了大规模养猪对养猪户碳中和行为的影响。研究结果有三点。其一,由于碳中和技术应用存在规模经济效应,大规模养猪能够促进养猪户的碳中和行为。然而,碳中和技术应用的规模经济效应存在边界,生猪年产量应保持在3000至4999头。其二,养猪规模对堆肥项目应用及其程度、种养循环状态的影响中,种养循环状态没有调节作用。其三,养猪规模对沼气工程应用及其程度的影响中,种养循环状态和沼气池建设补贴均有负向调节作用。本文以养猪业为典型案例,揭示了促进农业碳排放减排的内生激励机制,为制定促进农业碳中和的有效政策提供了理论参考和经验启示,这与工业行业有所不同。

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