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新型城镇化缩小城乡收入差距的作用机制及实证检验——基于中国省级面板数据的分析

Mechanism and empirical evidence on new-type urbanization to narrow the urban-rural income gap: Evidence from China's provincial data.

机构信息

School of Marxism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, PR China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 2;19(8):e0270964. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270964. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The main component of China's income gap is the urban-rural income gap, which is largely affected by urbanization. It is worth studying how new-type urbanization affects the income gap between urban and rural areas. Research mostly focuses on the urbanization rate as the core explanatory variable to explain the impact using one or two factors. This paper analyzes the mechanism of the effect using a comprehensive number of factors, with the quality of new-type urbanization development as the core explanatory variable. In terms of theoretical research, we believe that new-type urbanization affects the urban-rural income gap by promoting the transfer of labor, changing industrial structure, and policy tendency. Using both static and dynamic empirical analyses, we test the impact of new-type urbanization on the urban-rural income gap based on China's provincial data. We find that new-type urbanization is conducive to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. The transfer of labor significantly reduces the urban-rural income gap. However, the upgrading of industrial structure will enlarge the gap. The impact of China's policy orientation is negligible. Policy should focus on promoting urbanization and improving the marginal rate of return of agriculture, improve the level of human capital, reverse the mismatch between employment structure and industrial structure, increase support for rural areas, and make substantial progress in promoting common prosperity.

摘要

中国收入差距的主要构成部分是城乡收入差距,而这在很大程度上受到城市化的影响。研究新型城镇化如何影响城乡收入差距是很有意义的。研究大多以城市化率为核心解释变量,使用一个或两个因素来解释其影响。本文以新型城镇化发展质量为核心解释变量,利用综合因素分析作用机制。从理论研究来看,我们认为新型城镇化通过促进劳动力转移、改变产业结构和政策倾向来影响城乡收入差距。本文基于中国省级数据,采用静态和动态实证分析方法,检验了新型城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响。结果表明,新型城镇化有利于缩小城乡收入差距。劳动力转移显著缩小了城乡收入差距,而产业结构升级则会扩大差距。中国政策导向的影响可以忽略不计。政策应重点关注促进城市化和提高农业的边际回报率,提高人力资本水平,扭转就业结构与产业结构不匹配的局面,加大对农村地区的支持力度,在促进共同富裕方面取得实质性进展。

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